Boxing · resolved market
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.3m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35a841022766818843e93a760e427f294c0219da347160d122cd94980a2df790
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 8c | 3,999$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 35cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81d2…f36abacked Yes | 7c | 3,749$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.26 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,736$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf918…3a98backed Yes | 8c | 2,924$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c91…998dbacked Yes | 9c | 2,208$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5e…8054backed Yes | 6c | 2,057$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e30…e472backed Yes | 7c | 1,131$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 8c | 887.51$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes | 15c | 683.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 8c | 680.2$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 6c | 654.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 8c | 612.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…b087backed Yes | 13c | 510.32$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…36b8backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 8c | 500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 8c | 500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…7137backed No | 78c | 462.31$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.71 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 442.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 6c | 438.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…9b5abacked Yes | 9c | 422.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3264…5cefbacked Yes | 17c | 325.38$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 10c | 300$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 10c | 285.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked Yes | 22c | 272.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2956…d31bbacked Yes | 4c | 270$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 11c | 266$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 10c | 259.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f2…667ebacked Yes | 12c | 201.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 6c | 178.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ca…c1d1backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…ba4fbacked Yes | 9c | 111.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb37…fa1ebacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…b3d5backed Yes | 20c | 88.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…9387backed Yes | 59c | 76.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.3m?this page
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.1m?No won
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.2m?No won
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.4m?No won
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?No won
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?Yes won
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 600k?Yes won
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?Yes won
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?Yes won
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 900k?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.