TailMyPicks
Market

Boxing · resolved market

Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 600k?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$549,714
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$686,495

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $549,714 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1f6b…267ebacked No1c12,527$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.41728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-56.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4566…5319backed No3c8,049$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.0250%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02e6…c14ebacked No2c5,565$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0940%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac9b…d4c5backed No10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f3…f3a5backed No2c4,924$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11050%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked No2c4,693$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed No3c4,423$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.71238.7%2 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…6dd0backed No2c4,281$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.940%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked No3c3,542$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0250%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5874…6b11backed No0c3,534$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.241361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.25per pick37cpaid+92.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No2c2,891$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.682020%4 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed No3c2,451$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.95147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No3c2,445$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.08458.9%4 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed No3c2,332$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2160%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked No2c2,273$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+150.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x387e…56a5backed No11c2,264$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.031428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe0c…9cbebacked No1c2,157$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed No5c1,999$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.841513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-68.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed No2c1,957$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c39…f064backed No10c1,911$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.7190%0 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3302…79c0backed No1c1,900$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c1…825fbacked No13c1,825$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.2530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5081…a309backed No2c1,816$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7650%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked No4c1,779$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.55156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48ff…106ebacked No2c1,771$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed No11c1,748$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.191233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+59.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed No4c1,717$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8120%0 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf2…887dbacked No3c1,681$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5150%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed No3c1,680$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.450%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcff9…79eabacked No11c1,629$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd1…cfb4backed No3c1,591$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No3c1,566$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.981323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa834…71aebacked No2c1,518$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x013d…3e88backed No5c1,500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-48.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed No3c1,483$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7570%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No3c1,432$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7480%0 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c5…42a0backed No10c1,354$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce8e…41debacked No7c1,350$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed No6c1,279$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.21120%0 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b4…3470backed No2c1,243$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9dc1backed No2c1,238$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ce4…4b62backed No4c1,109$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0ad7…0971backed No1c1,100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff27…f845backed No4c1,095$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde36…0622backed No2c1,088$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3980%0 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b7…b666backed No2c1,067$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b36…7ea7backed No4c1,060$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbba8…f383backed No2c1,010$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0383…7034backed No2c1,006$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43bd…f1c8backed No7c930$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd47b…5a9ebacked No4c928$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x455e…1fcfbacked No10c919$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93e0…9f02backed No9c908$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b01…95a9backed No1c897.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.97333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid-33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa1…2922backed No10c887$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b61…0cebbacked No10c880$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x722c…5ebcbacked No7c865$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef80…a935backed No7c862$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19e4…22e5backed No2c818.77$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6410…ee60backed No2c800$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa44d…7ea0backed No8c800$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdac0…0207backed No7c795$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ee…9c50backed No2c770.46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.03714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b15…93f5backed No2c761.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.95728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick21cpaid-28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb1…7b5cbacked No7c758$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked No4c742.74$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.34267.7%2 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-67.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x516c…9687backed No9c717$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed No9c714.01$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.26911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-81.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e83…c80fbacked No7c702$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccaa…38a2backed No7c682$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked No5c670$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x174a…6f03backed No4c645$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ad4…3d8cbacked No2c626$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No8c605.8$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.41812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-71.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x453a…aa7cbacked No7c578$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed No2c567.61$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5e5…4669backed No7c555$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe57e…23a5backed No7c546$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b02…caa6backed No6c543$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe336…44dcbacked No10c541.37$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61a3…b1e5backed No4c523.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4597…a491backed No10c476$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e46…bb13backed No2c470$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad8…93b6backed No3c459.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.561030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-57.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0a…e9f7backed No10c450$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x590f…d809backed No2c450$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5807…608dbacked No10c449$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bbd…df1cbacked No10c443$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7ae…8fbdbacked No10c440$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78ae…2969backed No3c432.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5330%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb56…6858backed No3c430.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb40…3612backed No9c414.2$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.71333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d37…568dbacked No10c410.01$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0672…5763backed No10c366$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked No11c363.62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401520%3 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e0…719cbacked No11c360$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58e3…22c8backed No9c310.4$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No9c292.29$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274820.8%10 W · 38 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No6c278.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.351216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-69.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No6c260.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.621315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-73.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.