Boxing · resolved market
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.4m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa47b0346db8fce5cb1e61640aff98286d265c1c851da896d78e2ed900c8e3126
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $183,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x81d2…f36abacked Yes | 7c | 15,844$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.73 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 10,365$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.41 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe390…73ffbacked Yes | 5c | 3,334$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c91…998dbacked Yes | 10c | 2,533$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 6c | 2,330$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.78 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,189$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.01 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5b…efbebacked Yes | 6c | 2,186$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes | 6c | 1,752$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…e067backed Yes | 5c | 1,662$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e30…e472backed Yes | 5c | 1,600$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 10c | 1,565$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.32 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…56c6backed Yes | 6c | 1,552$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b60…4a95backed Yes | 9c | 1,541$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0923…bd50backed Yes | 13c | 1,530$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…b53abacked Yes | 8c | 1,399$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…4d5ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,349$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90f…8cecbacked Yes | 4c | 1,298$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 4c | 1,171$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 1,039$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8556…fad9backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b15…93f5backed Yes | 4c | 994.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…9b5abacked Yes | 3c | 975.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 6c | 908.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 6c | 869.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 3c | 835.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3433…da60backed Yes | 8c | 833.83$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 4c | 763.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 5c | 704.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f2…667ebacked Yes | 8c | 669.59$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 5c | 630.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…17cfbacked Yes | 7c | 543.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 6c | 543.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 3c | 506.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 5c | 500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 5c | 500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 4c | 500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 35cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 6c | 500$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 4c | 491.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ee…83c8backed Yes | 4c | 487.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…69b0backed Yes | 7c | 456.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc3…ec76backed Yes | 6c | 429.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d5…da3ebacked Yes | 7c | 407.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8696…438abacked Yes | 7c | 403.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 5c | 400$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 400$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd560…1200backed Yes | 13c | 367.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c39…f73abacked Yes | 4c | 359.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 12cpaid | +152.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…9387backed Yes | 16c | 347.85$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7356…0b03backed Yes | 7c | 277.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf80…fbe3backed Yes | 7c | 271.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 7c | 258.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d1…d06cbacked Yes | 5c | 250.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d64…b4c0backed Yes | 9c | 241$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 7c | 234.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…d9cabacked Yes | 5c | 203.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…ed76backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 8c | 153.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac6…5de9backed Yes | 7c | 150.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…2969backed Yes | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…f345backed Yes | 7c | 143.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf98d…fa32backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0092…5533backed Yes | 9c | 140.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…d9e2backed No | 72c | 136.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb36…3055backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +207.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…0687backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 79.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.4m?this page
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.1m?No won
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.2m?No won
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.3m?No won
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?No won
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?Yes won
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 600k?Yes won
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?Yes won
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?Yes won
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 900k?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.