Boxing · resolved market
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79d7663a5a4b32512cbb86ce4b1a465d0bee5ec544e25b3fa48acdd4f195ff77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,084,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $987,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,084,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5874…6b11backed No | 1c | 71,388$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.75 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked No | 13c | 52,249$6,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,738.69 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…0622backed No | 1c | 50,408$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.83 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…f3e1backed No | 10c | 27,839$2,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,768.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 2c | 19,451$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.44 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 22c | 18,771$4,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,087.06 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…39dbbacked No | 1c | 18,034$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed No | 10c | 18,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 1c | 14,887$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.12 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 1c | 14,188$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed No | 1c | 12,823$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 11,815$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.99 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4c…de5bbacked No | 15c | 10,882$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9091…9038backed No | 1c | 10,715$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed7d…9d86backed No | 1c | 10,715$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 1c | 10,526$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.23 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked No | 0c | 10,468$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb96…e4c1backed No | 1c | 9,325$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 1c | 7,740$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.88 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 2c | 6,681$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.34 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 2c | 6,495$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 1c | 5,871$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…bdb0backed No | 14c | 5,656$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.23 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 2c | 5,638$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.42 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 2c | 5,389$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 22c | 5,354$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce13…b785backed No | 2c | 5,135$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72eb…34d8backed No | 2c | 5,135$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc433…2ff8backed No | 1c | 5,054$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 2c | 4,946$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.36 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…2561backed No | 1c | 4,714$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02e6…c14ebacked No | 1c | 4,653$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked No | 1c | 4,389$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +150.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 1c | 4,164$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2c…5341backed No | 3c | 4,000$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dfbebacked No | 22c | 3,808$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ef…be38backed No | 1c | 3,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8324…57fdbacked No | 1c | 3,400$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…bbe1backed No | 18c | 3,234$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked No | 1c | 3,121$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed No | 1c | 3,077$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d2…f36abacked No | 2c | 3,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed Yes | 77c | 3,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.01 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked No | 1c | 3,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed No | 7c | 2,965$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.02 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…95a9backed No | 1c | 2,912$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed No | 1c | 2,563$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed No | 1c | 2,355$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 1c | 2,346$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6315…5a08backed No | 2c | 2,276$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…79c0backed No | 1c | 2,200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed No | 1c | 2,177$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…a0aabacked No | 1c | 2,131$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ee…2197backed No | 1c | 2,115$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 78c | 2,000$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 1c | 1,998$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3be…0e17backed No | 1c | 1,970$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa172…b716backed No | 17c | 1,965$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…f52bbacked No | 2c | 1,900$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…24e9backed Yes | 80c | 1,883$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 3c | 1,880$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 6c | 1,867$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked No | 5c | 1,767$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +111%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cf…1e59backed No | 1c | 1,684$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x402e…5d12backed No | 4c | 1,640$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1b…9847backed No | 2c | 1,545$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 1c | 1,487$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked No | 1c | 1,400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…5199backed No | 1c | 1,367$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 15c | 1,317$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.69 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 5c | 1,272$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad7…0971backed No | 1c | 1,227$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfd…3720backed No | 1c | 1,214$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 2c | 1,210$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked No | 16c | 1,209$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 6c | 1,194$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.58 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed No | 1c | 1,120$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…754cbacked No | 1c | 1,066$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…1792backed Yes | 78c | 1,050$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x178b…bb3cbacked No | 1c | 1,044$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +293.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x156a…dd4bbacked No | 2c | 1,029$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1855…ec9bbacked No | 4c | 1,024$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 4c | 1,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f3…5dbdbacked No | 1c | 983.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked No | 2c | 954.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaba9…7ed3backed No | 25c | 945.89$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed No | 2c | 913.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa30a…4992backed No | 2c | 907$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed No | 1c | 867.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe9…a406backed Yes | 80c | 857.06$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.06 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +189.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…7023backed No | 1c | 855.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fe…e2a4backed No | 2c | 840.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed No | 4c | 839.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…a4d2backed No | 1c | 800$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed No | 15c | 779.5$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3d…b48cbacked No | 1c | 732.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd93…55b4backed No | 4c | 726.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?this page
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.1m?No won
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.2m?No won
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.3m?No won
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.4m?No won
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?No won
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 600k?Yes won
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?Yes won
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?Yes won
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 900k?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.