TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf32e…7f7b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NFL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 52 out of 100; worst Boxing at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST2955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 54°F or higher on February 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+47.5%+$19.01
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 68°F or higher on February 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 54°F or higher on February 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$47.33
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C or below on February 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 81°F or below on February 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 59°F or below on February 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.01
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 29-30°F on February 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 60-61°F on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+52.4%+$10.49
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 52°F or higher on January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.54
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 20-21°F on January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+47.1%+$10.35
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 32°F or higher on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 20°F or higher on January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+63.4%+$19.01
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 52°F or higher on January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C or below on January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+46.8%+$8.35
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on January 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$18.19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 24-25°F on January 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -12°C or below on January 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$11.22
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 23°F or below on January 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$73.13
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -2°C on January 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+33.4%+$5.01
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C or below on January 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+33.7%+$41.23
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 39°F or below on January 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+98.6%+$18.97
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C on January 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+172.5%+$17.25
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 27°F or below on January 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+46.4%+$47.91
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+27.8%+$10.27
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+25%+$5.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+77.2%+$22.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+46.8%+$7.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+35.8%+$10.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fairfield Stags vs. Iona Gaelsbacked Iona Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$32.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Rocketsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$17.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Drink" or "Drunk" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$120.02
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.