TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Fairfield Stags vs. Iona Gaels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fairfield Stagsof Fairfield Stags, Iona Gaels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,708
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,582

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,708 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x27c5…6d61backed Iona Gaels58c4,316$2,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,503825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-46.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Fairfield Stags41c4,002$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,342.8612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…e38abacked Iona Gaels47c2,473$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1623426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fairfield Stags30c2,470$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.794,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Iona Gaels60c2,000$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.992,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Iona Gaels50c1,344$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.465,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Iona Gaels68c1,243$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.981,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Fairfield Stags39c1,105$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.051,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Fairfield Stags29c1,065$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.061,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c64…348fbacked Iona Gaels2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20570%0 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Iona Gaels61c983$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.6315851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Iona Gaels59c953.56$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.1416755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Fairfield Stags54c942.39$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.291,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Fairfield Stags37c811.9$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.7494036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Fairfield Stags46c738.95$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.5443450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Fairfield Stags41c729$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.52,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Fairfield Stags44c666.16$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.926147.5%29 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Iona Gaels55c637.49$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.293,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked Fairfield Stags41c600$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35411347.8%54 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Fairfield Stags76c529.04$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.0417062.9%107 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Fairfield Stags39c462$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.8260548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Iona Gaels47c449$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.6839742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Fairfield Stags42c409$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.55,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Fairfield Stags52c394.54$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.123,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Iona Gaels49c385.72$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.481,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Fairfield Stags41c374.12$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.731,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Iona Gaels59c367.8$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21779448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Iona Gaels30c355.59$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.061,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Iona Gaels59c351$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.9144549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Iona Gaels60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Fairfield Stags31c327.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.193,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Fairfield Stags41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17782048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Iona Gaels62c259$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.584,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Fairfield Stags43c249$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.931,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Iona Gaels54c246.8$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.2772248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Iona Gaels57c245.61$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14045351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Fairfield Stags41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.950546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Iona Gaels62c243.3$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018167.4%122 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…52f4backed Fairfield Stags14c233.75$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.032630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked Iona Gaels22c225.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507250%36 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Fairfield Stags45c220.82$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.872,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Iona Gaels48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Iona Gaels59c187.1$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3916341.7%68 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fairfield Stags70c185$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.231,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed Fairfield Stags44c179.4$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0823028.3%65 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Iona Gaels55c174.98$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.881,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Iona Gaels55c174.14$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.571,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Iona Gaels23c173.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017647.2%83 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Fairfield Stags42c159.46$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.752,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Fairfield Stags38c159$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5858345.5%265 W · 318 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Iona Gaels50c157.66$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3899848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Iona Gaels68c146.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cbb…59fcbacked Fairfield Stags74c139.7$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.131973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf32e…7f7bbacked Iona Gaels24c134.54$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Fairfield Stags52c110$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.052,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Iona Gaels59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597646.1%35 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Fairfield Stags38c99.61$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.42,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Fairfield Stags37c92.47$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.261,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c54…da2cbacked Fairfield Stags44c75.18$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.181283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+42.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Fairfield Stags44c69.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.491,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Fairfield Stags35c63.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.274060%24 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Fairfield Stags41c60.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9822656.2%127 W · 99 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x085d…5302backed Fairfield Stags49c59.56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3813550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0d8…a90ebacked Iona Gaels73c54.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Fairfield Stags40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Fairfield Stags36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3238343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Iona Gaels54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2712840.6%52 W · 76 L-11.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd7e…f17dbacked Iona Gaels21c49.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.54316.3%7 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked Iona Gaels30c49.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.679134.1%31 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-35.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Fairfield Stags41c48.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8766831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Fairfield Stags51c46.9$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0331646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Fairfield Stags39c46.84$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.576319%12 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Iona Gaels60c46.47$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8842751.8%221 W · 206 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7136…8ddcbacked Fairfield Stags32c42.34$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+56.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xacfe…e682backed Fairfield Stags41c39.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.59666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Fairfield Stags58c39.26$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4493447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x306c…51f2backed Iona Gaels36c39.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.085341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-38.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24e2…4729backed Iona Gaels52c38.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe92e…1e38backed Iona Gaels53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203256.3%18 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Fairfield Stags39c37.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8710043%43 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Fairfield Stags47c35.91$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0322953.7%123 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Fairfield Stags38c34.69$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6170349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Iona Gaels57c34.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.681453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Fairfield Stags44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0920024%48 W · 152 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Iona Gaels57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.164658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Fairfield Stags37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.952353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Fairfield Stags43c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.134947.9%167 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fb0…6a9fbacked Iona Gaels60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7789…d6c0backed Iona Gaels64c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.29353.8%50 W · 43 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8d…55c5backed Fairfield Stags55c27.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.421266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Iona Gaels61c23.08$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0839050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Iona Gaels57c22.46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.938345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x994d…7ff0backed Iona Gaels59c22.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Iona Gaels66c22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6345953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4db0…75b0backed Iona Gaels59c17.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.54650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed3f…2d57backed Iona Gaels72c17.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.866956.5%39 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.