TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0fb0…6a9f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NHL, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 60 out of 100; worst NBA at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST3161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bradley Braves vs. Northern Iowa Panthersbacked Northern Iowa Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.87
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Cincinnati Bearcatsbacked Cincinnati Bearcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.4
Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knightsbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$8.8
Northeastern Huskies vs. Hofstra Pridebacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Boise State Broncosbacked Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$4.95
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.6
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Rhode Island Rams vs. Duquesne Dukesbacked Duquesne Dukes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. Tarleton State Texansbacked Tarleton State Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15.9
High Point Panthers vs. Longwood Lancersbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.9
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. Jacksonville Dolphinsbacked Jacksonville Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$16.48
Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Texas State Bobcatsbacked Texas State Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+88.7%+$14.1
North Alabama Lions vs. Stetson Hattersbacked Stetson Hatters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$17.38
Fairfield Stags vs. Iona Gaelsbacked Iona Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Princeton Tigers vs. Cornell Big Redbacked Cornell Big Red · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.9
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Memphis Tigersbacked Memphis Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+81.8%+$27
Radford Highlanders vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneersbacked Charleston Southern Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15.9
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. South Alabama Jaguarsbacked South Alabama Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.2
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Northwestern Wildcatsbacked Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+33.6%+$7.65
Charleston Cougars vs. Hofstra Pridebacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$17.7
Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Campbell Fighting Camelsbacked Campbell Fighting Camels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$22.42
Hampton Pirates vs. Drexel Dragonsbacked Drexel Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12
North Alabama Lions vs. Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.84
NJIT Highlanders vs. Albany Great Danesbacked Albany Great Danes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$17.33
UMBC Retrievers vs. Vermont Catamountsbacked Vermont Catamounts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+37%+$9.8
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST2080%16 W · 4 L+4.2wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+34.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$4.5
Red Wings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Islanders vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+51.3%+$9.1
Jets vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Avalanche vs. Red Wingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+75.4%+$12.9
Stars vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$47.7
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+56.3%+$21.6
Flames vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+58.7%+$22.2
Blackhawks vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+63.9%+$23.4
Predators vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+85.2%+$13.8
Utah vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+63.9%+$23.4
Kings vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+88.7%+$14.1
Flyers vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+69.5%+$12.3
Islanders vs. Rangersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+81.8%+$18.2
Jets vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+58.7%+$22.2
Flyers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+85.2%+$13.8
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST2040%8 W · 12 L-4.8wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-39.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$4.65
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.7
Hornets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+47.1%+$4.8
Celtics vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.45
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$4.65
Magic vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.2
76ers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Jazz vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.3
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$21.94
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$38.7
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$52.19
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+86.9%+$27.9
Hornets vs. Mavericksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+75.4%+$12.9
Pistons vs. Sunsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$17.4
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$32.4
Trail Blazers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.2
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$401.43
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+26.4%+$48.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$42.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "His & Hers" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$145.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.