Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Memphis Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb58b7cb4d2ae18e625e78245aae0ea5beeed5808061450ff04b79b260038f0f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Memphis Tigersof Florida Atlantic Owls, Memphis Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Memphis Tigers | 55c | 1,962$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.9 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 45c | 1,412$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.7 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 43c | 1,240$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 25c | 1,165$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.49 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 45c | 941.97$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 23c | 886$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.38 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79e5…9417backed Memphis Tigers | 74c | 802.51$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Memphis Tigers | 56c | 767.53$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.71 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 19c | 681.83$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.93 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Memphis Tigers | 77c | 521.28$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.89 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 46c | 501.09$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Memphis Tigers | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Memphis Tigers | 54c | 388.6$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.76 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 40c | 369.73$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.31 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 29c | 339.02$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 35c | 333$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.14 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Memphis Tigers | 59c | 315.79$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.95 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Memphis Tigers | 76c | 297.2$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.48 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Memphis Tigers | 59c | 287.59$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.91 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 29c | 287.24$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 45c | 274$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.3 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f6…b90cbacked Memphis Tigers | 61c | 245.64$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.62 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 40c | 192.53$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 20c | 167.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Memphis Tigers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Memphis Tigers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 44c | 134.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 45c | 132.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Memphis Tigers | 75c | 126.83$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Memphis Tigers | 57c | 122.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 27c | 119$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 21c | 105.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 23c | 103.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 164 | 45.1%74 W · 90 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 37c | 94.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 24c | 89.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Memphis Tigers | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Memphis Tigers | 56c | 89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…3e75backed Memphis Tigers | 59c | 74.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Memphis Tigers | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Memphis Tigers | 58c | 61.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb0…6a9fbacked Memphis Tigers | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 20c | 59.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 19c | 55.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x862d…2632backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2e…78b1backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Memphis Tigers | 59c | 34.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Memphis Tigers | 70c | 22.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Memphis Tigers | 59c | 19.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Memphis Tigers | 78c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.02 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Memphis Tigersthis page
- Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Memphis Tigers: O/U 151.5Over won
- Spread: Memphis Tigers (-1.5)Memphis Tigers won
- Spread: Memphis Tigers (-2.5)Memphis Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.