Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Northwestern Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x989dbe17cbbbfcb0e550217e30d0a2f6a77e9bcb93816b9e6b039188ad61790e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northwestern Wildcatsof Penn State Nittany Lions, Northwestern Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Northwestern Wildcats | 74c | 4,148$3,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.44 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 25c | 4,077$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.72 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 76c | 3,468$2,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.01 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 25c | 1,410$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.69 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 27c | 1,185$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.16 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 13c | 606.14$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.07 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Northwestern Wildcats | 75c | 603.65$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.34 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 26c | 545$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.7 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Northwestern Wildcats | 73c | 517.39$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.36 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 16c | 421.73$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.66 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 75c | 393$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.25 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 25c | 371.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 24c | 297$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Northwestern Wildcats | 76c | 282.01$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.68 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 30c | 241.95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa302…6c3fbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 17c | 147.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 25c | 79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 76c | 78.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2e…78b1backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 25c | 77.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12b…b5d2backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Northwestern Wildcats | 78c | 50.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 23c | 47.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 24c | 45.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 25c | 44.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Northwestern Wildcats | 76c | 34.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb0…6a9fbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 75c | 30.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Northwestern Wildcats | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Northwestern Wildcats | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed Northwestern Wildcats | 75c | 17.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…c908backed Northwestern Wildcats | 77c | 16.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…5988backed Northwestern Wildcats | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacfe…e682backed Northwestern Wildcats | 77c | 14.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958e…ecbfbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 77c | 13.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdadd…a12dbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 76c | 13.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Northwestern Wildcatsthis page
- Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Northwestern Wildcats: O/U 148.5Over won
- Spread: Northwestern Wildcats (-7.5)Northwestern Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.