TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

North Alabama Lions vs. Florida Gulf Coast Eagles

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesof North Alabama Lions, Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,936
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,067

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,936 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb729…4e2ebacked North Alabama Lions28c11,102$3,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,122.88544.7%38 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles72c3,562$2,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.921,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles73c2,339$1,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.731,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles71c2,237$1,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.285,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles75c1,400$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.52,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed North Alabama Lions18c511.56$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6566831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x96b5…0821backed North Alabama Lions14c399.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564228.6%12 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked North Alabama Lions23c317.38$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked North Alabama Lions20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles64c197.25$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.253,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles75c170.14$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.181,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2175447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked North Alabama Lions21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked North Alabama Lions20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1631537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb834…e4c1backed North Alabama Lions23c73.14$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.828350.6%42 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed North Alabama Lions35c70$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.162,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked North Alabama Lions18c62.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.979134.1%31 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-35.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed North Alabama Lions20c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1223028.3%65 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed North Alabama Lions23c57.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.112,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles80c53.25$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6525152.6%132 W · 119 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles79c52.08$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8681453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7789…d6c0backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles69c29.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.099353.8%50 W · 43 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1aed…2c9dbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles80c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+81.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed3f…2d57backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles79c16.28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.426956.5%39 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fb0…6a9fbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles76c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.843161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.