TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Hampton Pirates vs. Drexel Dragons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Drexel Dragonsof Hampton Pirates, Drexel Dragons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,188
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,456

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,188 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Hampton Pirates37c5,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85024748.2%119 W · 128 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Drexel Dragons63c3,016$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.981,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hampton Pirates41c2,010$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.995,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Drexel Dragons59c1,443$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.383,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Hampton Pirates42c1,267$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53218650%93 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Drexel Dragons63c1,110$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.5521646.8%101 W · 115 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Drexel Dragons72c951.66$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.081,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Drexel Dragons62c910.04$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.52,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Drexel Dragons58c798.81$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.52,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Hampton Pirates39c767.68$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9394036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Drexel Dragons59c762.99$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.651,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Drexel Dragons63c634.92$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.921,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hampton Pirates20c611.13$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.215,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Drexel Dragons66c567.41$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.181,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Drexel Dragons80c400$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8038343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Hampton Pirates40c342.42$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.0766831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Drexel Dragons59c311$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.511,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Drexel Dragons63c299.99$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11116755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Drexel Dragons73c288$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.731,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hampton Pirates16c244.74$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.14,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hampton Pirates41c231.78$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Drexel Dragons69c217.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.961,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed Hampton Pirates37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7423028.3%65 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Drexel Dragons64c188$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.81,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd682…1ae2backed Hampton Pirates10c149.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15267.7%2 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-79.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Hampton Pirates36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Drexel Dragons63c107.93$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9358345.5%265 W · 318 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Hampton Pirates37c99.98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.992,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa302…6c3fbacked Hampton Pirates24c84.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.235910.2%6 W · 53 L-8.3wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-66.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Drexel Dragons53c83.16$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8793447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Hampton Pirates37c70$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.931537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Drexel Dragons63c70$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.944549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Hampton Pirates40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522656.2%127 W · 99 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Hampton Pirates22c57.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6299848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…5c69backed Hampton Pirates36c56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.166114.8%9 W · 52 L-12.0wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-64%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Drexel Dragons60c55$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2275447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ed…86ddbacked Hampton Pirates41c53.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7789…d6c0backed Drexel Dragons61c39.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.69353.8%50 W · 43 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Drexel Dragons66c35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.845351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hampton Pirates40c34.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.652,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Hampton Pirates36c33.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.937540%30 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fb0…6a9fbacked Drexel Dragons60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x646c…3210backed Drexel Dragons60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Drexel Dragons70c24.63$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.371,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Drexel Dragons80c22$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.42,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85fb…462fbacked Drexel Dragons68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.42147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Drexel Dragons59c18.53$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6721535.3%76 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c54…da2cbacked Drexel Dragons62c18.25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.981283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+42.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.