Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Hampton Pirates vs. Drexel Dragons: O/U 129.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9225654fa1b780fd00791819b624d7f98d4a5d8c757635c8d9c36c8ef2c1941c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 44c | 53,520$23,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,548.73 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 56c | 50,000$28,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,000 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 56c | 11,939$6,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,288.29 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 9,581$4,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,192.01 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.57 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 57c | 1,541$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.81 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 57c | 744$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.92 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Over | 45c | 564.11$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.85 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Over | 46c | 473.26$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.7 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 46c | 271.19$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.75 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 56c | 179.68$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.82 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Over | 46c | 141.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 56c | 141.15$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.91 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 132$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.76 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c6…5004backed Under | 55c | 47.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…c4aebacked Under | 55c | 38.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 56c | 22.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…49c4backed Under | 56c | 20.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hampton Pirates vs. Drexel Dragons: O/U 129.5this page
- Hampton Pirates vs. Drexel DragonsDrexel Dragons won
- Spread: Drexel Dragons (-4.5)Drexel Dragons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.