NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91f409f6f7a67b61afbb494cd6a98df4222068f62e0ae1f48e68649c28cd6514
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Flames, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $399,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $417,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $399,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Flames | 37c | 153,548$56,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,812.76 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Wild | 63c | 109,491$68,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,511.54 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Flames | 38c | 53,000$20,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,140 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Wild | 63c | 48,198$30,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,833.41 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Wild | 62c | 40,000$24,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,200 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Wild | 62c | 20,884$12,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,935.75 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Flames | 37c | 17,432$6,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,450.01 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Wild | 65c | 9,997$6,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,478.98 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Flames | 35c | 9,486$3,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,280.24 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wild | 64c | 8,887$5,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240.61 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Flames | 37c | 8,680$3,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,211.52 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Wild | 64c | 7,813$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.5 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Flames | 34c | 7,540$2,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.64 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Flames | 35c | 6,500$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Wild | 63c | 6,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Wild | 62c | 5,120$3,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.56 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Wild | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Flames | 37c | 4,385$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.03 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Wild | 63c | 4,042$2,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.54 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Flames | 37c | 3,946$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf69…9076backed Flames | 37c | 3,618$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.79 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flames | 35c | 3,371$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.76 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Wild | 62c | 3,223$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.73 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flames | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Wild | 63c | 2,381$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.95 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Flames | 39c | 2,225$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.29 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Wild | 61c | 2,223$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.84 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Flames | 37c | 2,030$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.1 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Flames | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Flames | 11c | 1,999$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.9 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Wild | 63c | 1,928$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.34 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Wild | 63c | 1,928$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.34 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…9ea3backed Flames | 7c | 1,809$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.62 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Wild | 63c | 1,800$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666 | 400 | 49.3%197 W · 203 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Wild | 63c | 1,800$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Wild | 63c | 1,615$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.64 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Flames | 16c | 1,535$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.41 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Wild | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Wild | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Flames | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Flames | 35c | 1,368$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.8 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Wild | 63c | 1,316$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.25 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Flames | 19c | 1,100$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42fd…4661backed Wild | 62c | 1,073$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.84 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Flames | 38c | 1,050$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Wild | 62c | 1,036$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.68 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Flames | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe14…3bd1backed Flames | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Flames | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Wild | 65c | 999.98$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.03 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Flames | 38c | 998.25$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.34 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed Wild | 63c | 996.24$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.61 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…5abfbacked Flames | 38c | 964.38$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.96 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa522…9bdcbacked Flames | 38c | 960$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Flames | 38c | 920.19$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.67 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2f…936abacked Wild | 63c | 915.24$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.64 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd72…cc45backed Flames | 9c | 897.53$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flames | 36c | 750$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Flames | 14c | 732.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Wild | 66c | 696.97$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.97 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Flames | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Wild | 66c | 673.18$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.88 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Flames | 13c | 650.16$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.42 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Flames | 37c | 643.77$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.26 | 529 | 46.9%248 W · 281 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7411…a2adbacked Flames | 35c | 640$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Flames | 13c | 623.15$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.15 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Flames | 14c | 622.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.99 | 227 | 28.2%64 W · 163 L | -17.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wild | 63c | 571.47$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.1 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Wild | 63c | 555.56$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.56 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Flames | 11c | 555$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfa…bc94backed Flames | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Wild | 63c | 523.25$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.24 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Wild | 64c | 516$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.76 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Flames | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Wild | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Wild | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Wild | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Wild | 61c | 495$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.05 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Flames | 15c | 494$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…0a6abacked Wild | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Wild | 63c | 470$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.9 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Flames | 14c | 419.68$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Flames | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 32%58 W · 123 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Flames | 23c | 409.63$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.47 | 162 | 37%60 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…4f77backed Flames | 38c | 403.45$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.31 | 386 | 45.1%174 W · 212 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Wild | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a82…7547backed Wild | 63c | 372.1$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.41 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Wild | 63c | 367.45$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.59 | 589 | 47%277 W · 312 L | -23.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Flames | 11c | 338.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Wild | 63c | 337.38$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.83 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ced…e5e1backed Wild | 66c | 335.12$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.94 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Flames | 12c | 329$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Flames | 38c | 320$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c4…3196backed Wild | 63c | 317.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda7a…d321backed Wild | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd3…bdbcbacked Wild | 66c | 307$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.38 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Flames | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,220 | 46.1%562 W · 658 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Wild | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 535 | 46.4%248 W · 287 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Flames | 20c | 300$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Flames | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Wildthis page
- Flames vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Under won
- Flames vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Wild won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.