NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Wild: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4f5bf90f20819adabe166ae84dba6b73f38346cd6ab41c0c0c45935ddba0306
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 46c | 6,142$2,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,316.91 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 54c | 3,558$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.32 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 48c | 2,292$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.67 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 53c | 1,624$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.83 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 53c | 1,300$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.97 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 1,016$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.85 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 52c | 895.84$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.84 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Over | 54c | 708$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.32 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 46c | 707.54$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.07 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 47c | 639$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.67 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 57c | 364.88$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.98 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 323.94$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.66 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 54c | 305.36$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.36 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 46c | 292$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.68 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe652…0677backed Under | 47c | 212.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Under | 47c | 210.56$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 205.36$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.36 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 57c | 177.66$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 43c | 161.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.29 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 46c | 129.03$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.68 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 30c | 123.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 47c | 112.51$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 47c | 110.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Under | 47c | 108.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Over | 43c | 105.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 54c | 105$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed Over | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 54c | 77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Over | 53c | 74.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc98a…edacbacked Under | 47c | 65.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeba…d2d8backed Over | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…7e7cbacked Under | 47c | 53.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…a497backed Over | 54c | 51.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Under | 46c | 43.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 46c | 42.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…f4e4backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under | 46c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Under | 47c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…7d7bbacked Under | 47c | 22.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…1f80backed Over | 54c | 21.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69cb…a452backed Over | 54c | 20.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x862d…2632backed Over | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Wild: O/U 5.5this page
- Flames vs. WildWild won
- Flames vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Wild won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.