Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. Jacksonville Dolphins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdea8aba0adbc36f3842502ba2f588bd5e8b88d1b1f9d4566f259d69ee2d9372b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesof Florida Gulf Coast Eagles, Jacksonville Dolphins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e9b…945abacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 46c | 17,927$8,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,686.46 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 50c | 17,185$8,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,511.62 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 55c | 1,600$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 3c | 1,301$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 2c | 777.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 17c | 579.22$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 55c | 523.66$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.56 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 55c | 489.71$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.25 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 55c | 288$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 71c | 235.63$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.17 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 17c | 235.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 53c | 176.13$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.35 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 53c | 160.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 24c | 142$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 45c | 134$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.7 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 45c | 88.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 44c | 82.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 45c | 80.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 50c | 72.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 56c | 61.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 39c | 43.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 49c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 46c | 40.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…41b7backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 41c | 32.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 55c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -7.5wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb0…6a9fbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 55c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 52c | 28.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 52c | 26.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 54c | 23.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…05afbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 55c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51de…c17bbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 53c | 20.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. Jacksonville Dolphinsthis page
- Spread: Jacksonville Dolphins (-1.5)Florida Gulf Coast Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.