Middle East · resolved market
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4cf5bcc28c907f482c276c74dcdf3c6c72075f2698802bc8d2cb35200bd7a09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $340,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $349,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $340,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 321 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4aa9…d1bdbacked Yes | 4c | 26,990$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.16 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked Yes | 4c | 12,258$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc7…8903backed Yes | 2c | 12,091$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 10,250$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 73c | 7,242$5,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.79 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…2dd9backed Yes | 25c | 6,748$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.01 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.41per pick | 63cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 20c | 6,453$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.58 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08d5…1cbbbacked Yes | 1c | 5,273$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…ea02backed Yes | 15c | 5,205$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 7c | 4,694$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.86 | 152 | 34.2%52 W · 100 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed Yes | 11c | 4,063$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.95 | 92 | 17.4%16 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6d…9f36backed Yes | 11c | 4,002$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,916$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 77c | 3,879$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.26 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 12c | 3,813$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.9 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 30c | 3,628$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.38 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…d749backed Yes | 1c | 2,407$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 66 | 0%0 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5f…e63cbacked No | 70c | 2,287$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.48 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…c709backed No | 75c | 2,270$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23a8…8004backed Yes | 1c | 2,070$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed No | 72c | 2,051$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,983$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.36 | 234 | 20.9%49 W · 185 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,900$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 202 | 47%95 W · 107 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…a781backed Yes | 25c | 1,830$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.35 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +13.0wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…fbeabacked Yes | 1c | 1,789$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,744$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.11 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…0fe5backed No | 78c | 1,714$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.22 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 3c | 1,700$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Yes | 6c | 1,669$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 7c | 1,630$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.08 | 118 | 16.1%19 W · 99 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 19c | 1,604$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.79 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 26c | 1,530$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.35 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Yes | 7c | 1,329$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 159 | 22.6%36 W · 123 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 7c | 1,300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.11 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb4…fe12backed No | 77c | 1,292$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.42 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,282$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.59 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c7…4421backed Yes | 25c | 1,258$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 7c | 1,148$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 291 | 29.9%87 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…5b41backed Yes | 3c | 1,101$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,056$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.23 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1453…959dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,015$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…013bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,010$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -9.6wins | -0.32per pick | 62cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…14ddbacked Yes | 11c | 990$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd926…6edbbacked Yes | 6c | 964.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67e…00e5backed Yes | 3c | 929$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +207%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 8c | 900.23$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc38b…d8a0backed Yes | 7c | 880$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…92f7backed No | 74c | 879.97$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.99 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 825.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa575…f2d0backed No | 73c | 815.68$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.23 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…acfcbacked Yes | 8c | 810.27$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.12 | 290 | 27.9%81 W · 209 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…0fe0backed Yes | 2c | 800.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 9c | 799.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 143 | 0.7%1 W · 142 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42f…962abacked Yes | 31c | 793.72$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 5c | 788.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 238 | 4.6%11 W · 227 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked Yes | 22c | 770.03$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.73 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…0435backed No | 78c | 770$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.1 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…6bfcbacked No | 76c | 759.24$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed Yes | 32c | 750$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5e…7952backed Yes | 26c | 732.71$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…e62abacked No | 68c | 700$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…9287backed Yes | 6c | 699.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +130.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 23c | 686$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.16 | 156 | 25%39 W · 117 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 16c | 681.08$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.08 | 281 | 26.3%74 W · 207 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 10c | 675.25$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 23c | 670.35$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.84 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa28d…89babacked Yes | 4c | 669.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 24c | 662.55$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.72 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 9c | 652.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 247 | 6.9%17 W · 230 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…e863backed No | 72c | 634.31$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.98 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked No | 79c | 633.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.35 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bb…5048backed Yes | 29c | 605.65$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.77 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.29per pick | 40cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x89f0…1e62backed Yes | 10c | 599.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6e…30a4backed No | 76c | 596.99$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 22c | 594.97$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.89 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed No | 75c | 590$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.75 | 185 | 31.9%59 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6e…bd19backed No | 79c | 552.53$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 9c | 534.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 114 | 24.6%28 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 9c | 499.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 73c | 499.99$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…722bbacked No | 70c | 486.38$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…f46cbacked Yes | 24c | 470.46$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.04 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Yes | 26c | 460.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked Yes | 5c | 460$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 15c | 452.04$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 9c | 449.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5364…31d7backed Yes | 24c | 448.7$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.38 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 33c | 443.63$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.89 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…3319backed No | 70c | 430.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.52 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 30c | 423.78$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.13 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b5…9975backed Yes | 20c | 401.7$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.13 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9155…de7cbacked Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 10c | 399.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 78 | 20.5%16 W · 62 L | -11.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6e…33ddbacked Yes | 24c | 395.91$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked No | 16c | 391.69$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.98 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 10cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 17c | 373.03$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.