Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Alabama Lions vs. Stetson Hatters
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x256bb6874263fee0cbe5bce356b6a8b4a88d10b84c0b7f4b211824ac4f6e5cfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Alabama Lionsof North Alabama Lions, Stetson Hatters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Stetson Hatters | 46c | 8,059$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed North Alabama Lions | 47c | 5,049$2,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,681.79 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed North Alabama Lions | 54c | 4,757$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.25 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Stetson Hatters | 53c | 3,603$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.64 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Stetson Hatters | 53c | 1,055$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.52 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed North Alabama Lions | 54c | 1,034$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.39 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed North Alabama Lions | 47c | 1,028$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.63 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Stetson Hatters | 53c | 876.85$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.48 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed North Alabama Lions | 56c | 533.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.34 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed North Alabama Lions | 47c | 517.97$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.52 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked North Alabama Lions | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked North Alabama Lions | 46c | 361.06$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.57 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Stetson Hatters | 53c | 286.43$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.81 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Stetson Hatters | 56c | 277.28$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.78 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed North Alabama Lions | 60c | 270.55$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.18 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Stetson Hatters | 53c | 203$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.59 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked North Alabama Lions | 68c | 179.87$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Stetson Hatters | 34c | 177.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Stetson Hatters | 40c | 124.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked North Alabama Lions | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked North Alabama Lions | 56c | 123$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed North Alabama Lions | 55c | 117.92$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.66 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Stetson Hatters | 54c | 111.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Stetson Hatters | 53c | 98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed North Alabama Lions | 47c | 94.47$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Stetson Hatters | 44c | 83.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked North Alabama Lions | 51c | 72.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked North Alabama Lions | 58c | 72.13$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed North Alabama Lions | 46c | 70.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed North Alabama Lions | 59c | 67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed North Alabama Lions | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Stetson Hatters | 54c | 57.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked North Alabama Lions | 59c | 56.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed North Alabama Lions | 47c | 51.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed North Alabama Lions | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed North Alabama Lions | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed North Alabama Lions | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed North Alabama Lions | 60c | 47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed North Alabama Lions | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked North Alabama Lions | 47c | 43.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e4c1backed North Alabama Lions | 67c | 42.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed North Alabama Lions | 46c | 40.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb0…6a9fbacked Stetson Hatters | 55c | 31.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Stetson Hatters | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed North Alabama Lions | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…2fd8backed North Alabama Lions | 50c | 23.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Stetson Hatters | 53c | 19.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Alabama Lions vs. Stetson Hattersthis page
- Spread: Stetson Hatters (-1.5)North Alabama Lions won
- Spread: Stetson Hatters (-2.5)North Alabama Lions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.