Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. Dayton Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66763c81b435dfa869182819b9ed080f4dff7257a7a46edeb4cb5a92367d4b7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dayton Flyersof St. Bonaventure Bonnies, Dayton Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 20c | 2,443$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.47 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Dayton Flyers | 71c | 2,365$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.04 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 19c | 2,058$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.66 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Dayton Flyers | 78c | 1,737$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.89 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Dayton Flyers | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 24c | 1,110$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.4 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Dayton Flyers | 78c | 1,103$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.81 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 26c | 964.48$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.4 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 32c | 914.48$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.46 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Dayton Flyers | 72c | 672.36$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.72 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 32c | 599.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.7 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Dayton Flyers | 78c | 499.58$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.41 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 25c | 479.02$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.13 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 26c | 419.18$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.38 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Dayton Flyers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 23c | 390$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Dayton Flyers | 77c | 368.2$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.39 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 26c | 321.84$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.77 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 37c | 308.77$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.97 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Dayton Flyers | 76c | 299.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 25c | 289$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.51 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Dayton Flyers | 41c | 274$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.66 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Dayton Flyers | 71c | 234.4$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.24 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Dayton Flyers | 54c | 207.03$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Dayton Flyers | 75c | 199.92$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.12 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 21c | 193.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 20c | 190.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Dayton Flyers | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Dayton Flyers | 70c | 179.07$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.87 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Dayton Flyers | 75c | 178.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…e0edbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Dayton Flyers | 74c | 144.56$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Dayton Flyers | 68c | 131.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 14c | 130$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 31c | 129$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…11ffbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Dayton Flyers | 79c | 112.37$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…9bacbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 10c | 103.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Dayton Flyers | 78c | 100.55$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 22c | 90.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 18c | 85.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…036abacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 24c | 82.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 45c | 82.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Dayton Flyers | 78c | 75.79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 22c | 55.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Dayton Flyers | 77c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…217abacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 29c | 50.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…e0bcbacked Dayton Flyers | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 24c | 48.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Dayton Flyers | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 41c | 40.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e4c1backed Dayton Flyers | 66c | 34.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe113…375dbacked Dayton Flyers | 76c | 31.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Dayton Flyers | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Dayton Flyers | 74c | 26.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed Dayton Flyers | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6588…1c46backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 56c | 18.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8410…441fbacked Dayton Flyers | 74c | 16.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3422…cd99backed Dayton Flyers | 77c | 16.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Dayton Flyers | 78c | 15.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +6.4wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Dayton Flyers | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 100 | 95%95 W · 5 L | +21.3wins | +0.21per pick | 74cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb0…6a9fbacked Dayton Flyers | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. Dayton Flyersthis page
- Spread: Dayton Flyers (-8.5)St. Bonaventure Bonnies won
- St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. Dayton Flyers: O/U 146.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.