TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Campbell Fighting Camels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Stony Brook Seawolvesof Stony Brook Seawolves, Campbell Fighting Camels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,009
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,985

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,009 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Stony Brook Seawolves31c5,000$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,449.9924748.2%119 W · 128 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Stony Brook Seawolves73c4,281$3,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.042,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Campbell Fighting Camels22c2,659$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.774,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Campbell Fighting Camels60c2,508$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.511,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Campbell Fighting Camels55c1,745$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.281,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Campbell Fighting Camels69c1,655$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.75759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Campbell Fighting Camels69c1,630$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.774649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Stony Brook Seawolves32c1,550$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.3512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Stony Brook Seawolves30c1,255$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.546446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Stony Brook Seawolves58c1,226$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.531,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Campbell Fighting Camels68c1,147$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.432,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Stony Brook Seawolves63c811.01$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.5672248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Campbell Fighting Camels24c800$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19016746.1%77 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Campbell Fighting Camels69c800$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5522138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Campbell Fighting Camels66c600$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39614151.1%72 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Stony Brook Seawolves36c557.39$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.1894036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Campbell Fighting Camels67c525.09$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.955,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Stony Brook Seawolves31c508.87$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.333,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Campbell Fighting Camels21c477.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10053635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Stony Brook Seawolves32c448.15$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.7444549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Campbell Fighting Camels53c422.74$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.146636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf54b…8a63backed Campbell Fighting Camels69c388$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.723447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Campbell Fighting Camels70c385.52$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.861,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Stony Brook Seawolves36c356.2$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.266831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Campbell Fighting Camels68c312.48$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.4913052.3%68 W · 62 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Stony Brook Seawolves32c289.47$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.847727.3%21 W · 56 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Campbell Fighting Camels56c273.85$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.362,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Stony Brook Seawolves31c256.08$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.181,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Stony Brook Seawolves48c250$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.51,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Stony Brook Seawolves33c236$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.164,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa90…b224backed Campbell Fighting Camels22c213.64$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick28cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Stony Brook Seawolves34c187.98$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.532,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Campbell Fighting Camels68c184$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.1291848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Campbell Fighting Camels68c183.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0799848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Campbell Fighting Camels69c163$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.471,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab8…b5a6backed Campbell Fighting Camels66c151.02$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Stony Brook Seawolves31c146.9$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3697447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Campbell Fighting Camels66c143.26$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1222552.9%119 W · 106 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Stony Brook Seawolves32c125.38$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.765,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Campbell Fighting Camels40c118$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.939742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Stony Brook Seawolves33c111.25$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0531537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Campbell Fighting Camels70c107.58$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.883,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Stony Brook Seawolves32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Campbell Fighting Camels25c90.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.773,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Stony Brook Seawolves29c88.34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8745953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Campbell Fighting Camels65c80.38$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.693447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Campbell Fighting Camels22c79$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.082,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad13…d3abbacked Stony Brook Seawolves27c76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8620234.2%69 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Campbell Fighting Camels70c66.67$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6758345.5%265 W · 318 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Campbell Fighting Camels68c64.56$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8481453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Campbell Fighting Camels66c63.82$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.124,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf5f…56a0backed Stony Brook Seawolves33c62.26$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.714334.9%15 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Stony Brook Seawolves34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8223331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31db…c25fbacked Stony Brook Seawolves67c57.54$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.992070%14 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Stony Brook Seawolves40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3012840.6%52 W · 76 L-11.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Campbell Fighting Camels52c49.69$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.791,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Stony Brook Seawolves35c49.02$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.912,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc006…036abacked Campbell Fighting Camels56c35.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.793240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed Campbell Fighting Camels69c34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4625152.6%132 W · 119 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Campbell Fighting Camels63c33.84$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.251,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fb0…6a9fbacked Campbell Fighting Camels68c33.02$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.423161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe384…7fafbacked Stony Brook Seawolves49c27.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.231450%7 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2db9…846cbacked Campbell Fighting Camels60c23.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.235549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Stony Brook Seawolves68c20.63$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.621,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Campbell Fighting Camels69c18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.421,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3ac…1afdbacked Campbell Fighting Camels68c16.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116861.8%42 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.