Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UMBC Retrievers vs. Vermont Catamounts
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01681d7abfd5d5c0d611f4bfb6a90dfac7924d27287a535322b018205c88c3ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vermont Catamountsof UMBC Retrievers, Vermont Catamounts
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed UMBC Retrievers | 26c | 4,165$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.85 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vermont Catamounts | 77c | 2,627$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.65 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Vermont Catamounts | 74c | 2,439$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.14 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UMBC Retrievers | 25c | 2,161$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.75 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Vermont Catamounts | 75c | 1,843$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.28 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked UMBC Retrievers | 27c | 1,163$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.8 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed UMBC Retrievers | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked UMBC Retrievers | 18c | 637.16$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.56 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked UMBC Retrievers | 29c | 630$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed UMBC Retrievers | 23c | 600$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed UMBC Retrievers | 12c | 483.93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed UMBC Retrievers | 21c | 462.4$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.28 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Vermont Catamounts | 73c | 422.96$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.2 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed UMBC Retrievers | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed UMBC Retrievers | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb986…d032backed Vermont Catamounts | 74c | 397.64$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.39 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Vermont Catamounts | 73c | 325$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.75 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Vermont Catamounts | 75c | 322.1$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.58 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Vermont Catamounts | 76c | 297.17$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.32 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vermont Catamounts | 72c | 273.81$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UMBC Retrievers | 13c | 246$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Vermont Catamounts | 74c | 218.46$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked UMBC Retrievers | 19c | 210$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Vermont Catamounts | 72c | 200.98$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.27 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked UMBC Retrievers | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vermont Catamounts | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…0821backed UMBC Retrievers | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Vermont Catamounts | 74c | 194$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed UMBC Retrievers | 27c | 192.31$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Vermont Catamounts | 79c | 163.4$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Vermont Catamounts | 73c | 136.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Vermont Catamounts | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UMBC Retrievers | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed UMBC Retrievers | 24c | 94.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked UMBC Retrievers | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Vermont Catamounts | 70c | 85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Vermont Catamounts | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed UMBC Retrievers | 28c | 70.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed UMBC Retrievers | 32c | 53.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Vermont Catamounts | 78c | 52.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb0…6a9fbacked Vermont Catamounts | 73c | 36.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Vermont Catamounts | 77c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Vermont Catamounts | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Vermont Catamounts | 74c | 16.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef3…519dbacked Vermont Catamounts | 77c | 15.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Vermont Catamounts | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UMBC Retrievers vs. Vermont Catamountsthis page
- Spread: Vermont Catamounts (-6.5)Vermont Catamounts won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.