Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. Tarleton State Texans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x826b636676e512076fc3e5648ddb84630f7f3d11b106b77a84d3884fc3e6f2d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utah Tech Trailblazersof Utah Tech Trailblazers, Tarleton State Texans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tarleton State Texans | 9c | 4,482$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.28 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Utah Tech Trailblazers | 49c | 2,223$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.06 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers | 59c | 1,431$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.11 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Tarleton State Texans | 39c | 1,271$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Utah Tech Trailblazers | 65c | 1,055$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.93 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Tarleton State Texans | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tarleton State Texans | 50c | 974.58$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.55 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Tarleton State Texans | 49c | 559$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.91 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers | 51c | 355.94$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…8bd3backed Tarleton State Texans | 9c | 342.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Tarleton State Texans | 53c | 190.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Tarleton State Texans | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Tarleton State Texans | 18c | 176.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tarleton State Texans | 39c | 172.06$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.61 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Tarleton State Texans | 51c | 129$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Tarleton State Texans | 16c | 126.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers | 48c | 124.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Utah Tech Trailblazers | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tarleton State Texans | 49c | 108$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Utah Tech Trailblazers | 44c | 95.14$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed Tarleton State Texans | 51c | 90.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tarleton State Texans | 18c | 79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Tarleton State Texans | 54c | 73.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Tarleton State Texans | 52c | 71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Tarleton State Texans | 52c | 67.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Tarleton State Texans | 45c | 65.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Tarleton State Texans | 52c | 64.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Tarleton State Texans | 60c | 61.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tarleton State Texans | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Tarleton State Texans | 46c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Utah Tech Trailblazers | 71c | 47.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Tarleton State Texans | 52c | 37.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Utah Tech Trailblazers | 66c | 37.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Tarleton State Texans | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Utah Tech Trailblazers | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb0…6a9fbacked Tarleton State Texans | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Utah Tech Trailblazers | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. Tarleton State Texansthis page
- Spread: Tarleton State Texans (-1.5)Utah Tech Trailblazers won
- Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. Tarleton State Texans: O/U 148.5Under won
- Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. Tarleton State Texans: O/U 149.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.