Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. Tarleton State Texans: O/U 149.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfed026f1c40e3827ca2e7166f00f4928c78d24685e51c6fe14f79b77e189ff1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 54c | 39,000$21,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,999.07 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 46c | 12,500$5,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,750 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 10,272$4,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,778.27 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 46c | 6,470$2,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,976.1 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 46c | 4,200$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Over | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 47c | 779.06$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.16 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 46c | 326.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 46c | 318$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.28 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 46c | 317.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.28 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 46c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Over | 46c | 29.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. Tarleton State Texans: O/U 149.5this page
- Spread: Tarleton State Texans (-1.5)Utah Tech Trailblazers won
- Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. Tarleton State TexansUtah Tech Trailblazers won
- Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. Tarleton State Texans: O/U 148.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.