Movies · resolved market
Will "His & Hers" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d1b362eed7a6c462f427be82159f467ed422c50a6434efb4b25e94c7d9e4ead
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…15e1backed Yes | 35c | 1,466$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.49 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +14.1wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 1,344$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 1,218$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 13c | 685.25$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.33 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 69c | 610.36$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.38 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes | 70c | 571.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.29 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…c6debacked No | 30c | 355.37$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.2 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 8c | 343.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a0…2ab3backed Yes | 66c | 302.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe61d…e172backed Yes | 32c | 264.36$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.56 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2691…4b26backed No | 25c | 230$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…aeeebacked Yes | 75c | 230$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ed…b788backed Yes | 68c | 221$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.73 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 25c | 150$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90fa…d7f0backed Yes | 76c | 132.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x102b…c1dbbacked Yes | 34c | 110$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +190.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d4…0f57backed No | 44c | 109$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 23c | 98.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84af…ddb0backed Yes | 64c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0d…fe45backed No | 36c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 30c | 89.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53d…9710backed Yes | 67c | 74.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…2020backed Yes | 30c | 73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +235.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…3840backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…83d7backed No | 44c | 72.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7749…fad4backed Yes | 78c | 70.41$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…da11backed Yes | 55c | 69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb0…6a9fbacked No | 21c | 57.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 38c | 56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972c…d0a1backed Yes | 74c | 54.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 30c | 48.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 33c | 43.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -14.5wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -65%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed No | 27c | 40.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 133 | 21.1%28 W · 105 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f0…3970backed No | 34c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22df…ed56backed Yes | 72c | 34.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…00ddbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +179.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…40c6backed Yes | 60c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0f…db07backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 56c | 18.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 206 | 68.9%142 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7b…19f1backed Yes | 70c | 17.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "His & Hers" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)this page
- Will "11.22.63" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)No won
- Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.