TailMyPicks
Market

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MIBRof NRG, MIBR
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,021
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,869

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,021 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked MIBR42c11,505$4,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,721.597236.1%26 W · 46 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed NRG59c6,063$3,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,557.156056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed MIBR42c5,393$2,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,103.3413558.5%79 W · 56 L+11.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed NRG64c5,101$3,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,247.5725046.4%116 W · 134 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked NRG56c5,034$2,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,831.2126838.1%102 W · 166 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked NRG59c3,788$2,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,229.6115442.2%65 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed NRG53c3,714$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,974.9341537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed NRG1c3,171$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6727411.3%31 W · 243 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb877…a13fbacked MIBR58c3,045$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.4924732%79 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb5…7349backed NRG57c2,522$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.675664.3%36 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf84e…6cbebacked NRG49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2252050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MIBR65c2,377$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.3593248.1%448 W · 484 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed NRG56c2,315$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.4828247.5%134 W · 148 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfadd…3955backed MIBR64c1,976$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.246167.2%41 W · 20 L+9.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+30.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed NRG34c1,925$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.053729.7%11 W · 26 L-5.6wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd1b0…5e03backed MIBR43c1,642$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.941070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked MIBR41c1,546$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.8328541.1%117 W · 168 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed MIBR39c1,500$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91516142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed MIBR57c1,421$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.6810455.8%58 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed NRG37c1,395$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.044330.2%13 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked MIBR43c1,395$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.342751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+28.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed NRG39c1,241$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.6662156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf38b…b601backed MIBR44c1,234$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.93666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+46.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed MIBR43c1,167$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67028740.8%117 W · 170 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked NRG38c1,095$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.258746%40 W · 47 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked MIBR39c1,013$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.9219157.1%109 W · 82 L+23.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed MIBR43c999.96$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.988438.1%32 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed MIBR44c822.95$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.856847.1%32 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed NRG51c800.78$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.418066.3%53 W · 27 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec24…9544backed NRG57c789.67$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-46.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed NRG39c748.23$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.788234.1%28 W · 54 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed MIBR8c740.92$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.648625.6%22 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked NRG28c731.62$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.6511433.3%38 W · 76 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked MIBR38c728.69$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.8355152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed NRG57c721$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.2817537.7%66 W · 109 L-14.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x871e…6566backed MIBR72c619.67$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.43366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MIBR21c610.88$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.831,38047.1%650 W · 730 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed MIBR43c592.59$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.786346%29 W · 34 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bca…b60abacked NRG59c589.67$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.4520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed MIBR44c588.64$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed NRG57c476.96$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.6415553.5%83 W · 72 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG13c460.12$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.821,42251.3%729 W · 693 L+49.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d5…8338backed MIBR18c435.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+441.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed MIBR32c430$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.824047.9%115 W · 125 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked MIBR33c411.48$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.4825943.2%112 W · 147 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked NRG59c404$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.7618241.2%75 W · 107 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed NRG57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22839142.5%166 W · 225 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed NRG39c393.93$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.882445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked MIBR20c380$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.96445.3%29 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9936…1d7dbacked MIBR20c337.09$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.83728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed MIBR75c329.82$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5928151.6%145 W · 136 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e5b…0324backed MIBR43c316.98$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.9812151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b57…8cc0backed NRG58c301.74$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.4220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b62…5203backed NRG17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-42.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed MIBR80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606672.7%48 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96f0…a122backed MIBR19c289.97$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.971060%6 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+98%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed MIBR49c279.78$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9914957.7%86 W · 63 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed MIBR69c271.4$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.313831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.7wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-33.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5ef0…7adebacked MIBR19c257.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.147145.1%32 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9cd…432cbacked MIBR35c256.67$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.832441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f9e…f22bbacked NRG61c246.48$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.354731.9%15 W · 32 L-8.6wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-43.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xbc97…fd78backed MIBR41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39b1…6cfabacked NRG28c242$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked MIBR44c241.09$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.0121240.1%85 W · 127 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fec…871cbacked MIBR71c240.32$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed NRG24c224.62$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.319837.8%37 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba63…a30ebacked NRG58c224.14$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55aa…4f8ebacked MIBR72c223.7$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a9e…a5dbbacked MIBR42c214.04$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.041752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0028…fdc6backed MIBR42c213.4$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.059540%38 W · 57 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d30…1a5ebacked NRG60c200.16$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.692045%9 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb581…fa4ebacked NRG59c199.98$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.994346.5%20 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc442…b7e5backed MIBR26c196.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+96.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed NRG56c191.82$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4240%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a9d…98ddbacked MIBR70c180$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.42657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5f8…1b0dbacked MIBR44c170.45$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.45250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed NRG29c169.13$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4939545.8%181 W · 214 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked NRG59c168.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010460.6%63 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked NRG59c164.37$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9714452.1%75 W · 69 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked NRG61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38ce…5431backed NRG64c156.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004560%27 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked MIBR42c143.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.397953.2%42 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac03…3840backed NRG71c140.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5be…2bfbbacked MIBR42c138.1$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.12729.6%8 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed NRG57c133.65$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1819945.2%90 W · 109 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2d…0200backed NRG60c133.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed NRG48c132.94$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8111152.3%58 W · 53 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed NRG60c129.58$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.347561.3%46 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x833c…42b4backed MIBR42c129.53$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.75927.1%16 W · 43 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked NRG79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10051948.4%251 W · 268 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked MIBR27c121.51$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.7633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed NRG63c118.98$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+89.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30d5…ea80backed MIBR25c117.94$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.943372.7%24 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+27.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa085…7fccbacked NRG68c117.79$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed MIBR43c116.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9342840%171 W · 257 L-22.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked MIBR48c104.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.798254.9%45 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea7…16c7backed MIBR20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked MIBR43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5712650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe63b…b7c9backed MIBR44c99.61$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.78633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe92e…1e38backed NRG78c98.27$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.58475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.