NFL · resolved market

Spread: Patriots (-13.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x474ee1e970d171a004ad49a78c314444aae6be6a4ffda77cb293824cfc0d115f

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Patriotsof Patriots, Jets
Resolved: Dec 28, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $327,321
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $328,909

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $327,321 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1496…a429backed Patriots	48c	210,068$101,709 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108,358.56	274	54.7%150 W · 124 L	+13.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed Jets	52c	150,000$78,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78,000	38	50%19 W · 19 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Jets	50c	60,000$30,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,000	165	45.5%75 W · 90 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Jets	52c	30,399$15,703 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,703.26	249	57%142 W · 107 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Patriots	51c	22,543$11,436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,107.33	533	48.4%258 W · 275 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f1a…6dc0backed Patriots	50c	15,000$7,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,500	70	51.4%36 W · 34 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Patriots	52c	10,000$5,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,800	181	40.9%74 W · 107 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Jets	48c	8,410$4,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,038.14	865	47.9%414 W · 451 L	-6.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Patriots	49c	6,530$3,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,330.3	373	50.9%190 W · 183 L	+12.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Jets	49c	6,500$3,185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,185	173	48%83 W · 90 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Jets	52c	6,000$3,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,120	240	53.8%129 W · 111 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Patriots	48c	5,000$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,600	74	64.9%48 W · 26 L	+9.8wins	+0.13per pick	52cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Jets	52c	5,000$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600	97	54.6%53 W · 44 L	+9.1wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+13%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1375…a070backed Jets	50c	4,540$2,270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,270	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x454f…04e7backed Patriots	50c	4,540$2,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,270	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Jets	49c	3,678$1,802 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,802.22	568	52.3%297 W · 271 L	+26.3wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Patriots	51c	3,432$1,735 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,696.26	473	48.4%229 W · 244 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Jets	49c	3,270$1,602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,602.3	206	61.2%126 W · 80 L	+12.3wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Patriots	51c	3,154$1,596 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,557.97	736	51.2%377 W · 359 L	+25.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Patriots	48c	2,391$1,153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,238.4	1,196	49.9%597 W · 599 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Jets	50c	2,351$1,172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,171.62	650	48.3%314 W · 336 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jets	50c	2,151$1,076 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,075.5	513	52.2%268 W · 245 L	+16.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Patriots	50c	2,050$1,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,025	284	47.5%135 W · 149 L	-5.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Jets	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	343	49.3%169 W · 174 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Patriots	50c	2,000$990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,010	101	42.6%43 W · 58 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Patriots	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	71	52.1%37 W · 34 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Patriots	49c	1,651$802 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$848.37	124	45.2%56 W · 68 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Patriots	48c	1,250$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$650	105	47.6%50 W · 55 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71a5…c3eabacked Jets	47c	1,064$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-7.7wins	-0.23per pick	52cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Jets	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.5	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Jets	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	362	46.7%169 W · 193 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Jets	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	114	52.6%60 W · 54 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Patriots	48c	1,000$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520	75	34.7%26 W · 49 L	-9.1wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Jets	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	140	35%49 W · 91 L	-12.0wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Patriots	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+4.0wins	+0.15per pick	41cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jets	50c	990.77$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.28	394	47.7%188 W · 206 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Jets	51c	980.39$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	67	38.8%26 W · 41 L	-7.8wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Patriots	51c	869.2$439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$429.91	52	65.4%34 W · 18 L	+5.1wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Jets	51c	658.82$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x266b…8da2backed Jets	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Patriots	48c	593.09$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.29	770	52.7%406 W · 364 L	+24.8wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1abf…6024backed Jets	52c	577.22$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	40	45%18 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d59…e0edbacked Jets	53c	566.04$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Patriots	48c	532.77$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.14	1,065	51.3%546 W · 519 L	+25.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb21c…3aedbacked Patriots	49c	510.2$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.2	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Jets	51c	500$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	136	41.2%56 W · 80 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe727…5e8dbacked Jets	49c	408.57$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	175	48%84 W · 91 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Jets	53c	400$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212	83	45.8%38 W · 45 L	-5.6wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Jets	52c	400$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Jets	52c	384.62$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	125	48.8%61 W · 64 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Patriots	49c	306.12$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.12	67	55.2%37 W · 30 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35de…b39abacked Patriots	51c	296.35$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.35	201	43.3%87 W · 114 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e57…21cbbacked Jets	51c	294.12$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Jets	51c	240$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.4	206	50.5%104 W · 102 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Jets	51c	235.29$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8f8…79a8backed Patriots	48c	206.18$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.34	102	56.9%58 W · 44 L	+5.7wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Jets	51c	204.08$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.08	194	59.3%115 W · 79 L	+15.6wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Jets	49c	200.06$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.86	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7b3…f97cbacked Patriots	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	73	49.3%36 W · 37 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11b3…48b6backed Patriots	49c	200$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Jets	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	96	51%49 W · 47 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36f…fb15backed Patriots	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	86	50%43 W · 43 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x96b6…b8f8backed Patriots	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Jets	52c	195$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.4	553	45%249 W · 304 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf492…29c2backed Patriots	49c	193.34$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.88	102	52.9%54 W · 48 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8021…0da8backed Patriots	51c	193.14$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.64	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	+3.7wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd63e…0d52backed Patriots	51c	147.06$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.06	35	62.9%22 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Jets	51c	143$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.93	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Patriots	49c	142.86$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.86	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Jets	52c	134.62$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	280	47.5%133 W · 147 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Jets	52c	103.85$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	96	51%49 W · 47 L	+7.2wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9592…e568backed Jets	53c	100.26$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Patriots	50c	100.12$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.26	294	39.5%116 W · 178 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0915…d08abacked Patriots	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	77	45.5%35 W · 42 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Jets	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	183	36.1%66 W · 117 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…8764backed Jets	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xacd5…7b91backed Patriots	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Jets	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	112	60.7%68 W · 44 L	+10.3wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Patriots	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	124	47.6%59 W · 65 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Jets	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	532	53%282 W · 250 L	+19.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad5c…ac13backed Patriots	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	60	36.7%22 W · 38 L	-8.4wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Patriots	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	220	53.2%117 W · 103 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf35…b327backed Patriots	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	169	46.7%79 W · 90 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x036a…4c9abacked Patriots	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jets	50c	89.46$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.77	163	49.7%81 W · 82 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a52…9ad6backed Jets	52c	76.92$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	55	58.2%32 W · 23 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aad…0eeabacked Patriots	50c	76$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x636f…819fbacked Patriots	50c	75.48$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.74	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Patriots	50c	75$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.5	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	+3.9wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5bc…a233backed Jets	50c	73.62$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.81	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Patriots	49c	71.43$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.43	158	55.7%88 W · 70 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Patriots	49c	60$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.6	108	64.8%70 W · 38 L	+15.5wins	+0.14per pick	50cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Jets	51c	60$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.6	133	57.1%76 W · 57 L	+9.2wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Jets	51c	59.99$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.6	124	58.1%72 W · 52 L	+10.6wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6365…df4ebacked Jets	51c	58.82$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Patriots	47c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.5	58	51.7%30 W · 28 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3381…52bcbacked Jets	50c	49.59$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.92	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-3.1wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c58…8c00backed Patriots	51c	47.35$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.2	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Patriots	48c	47$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.44	363	41.9%152 W · 211 L	-13.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Jets	49c	46.61$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.84	112	53.6%60 W · 52 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Patriots (-13.5)this page
1H Spread: Patriots (-7.5)Patriots won
Patriots vs. JetsPatriots won
Patriots vs. Jets: 1H MoneylinePatriots won
Patriots vs. Jets: O/U 41.5Over won
Patriots vs. Jets: O/U 42.5Over won
Patriots vs. Jets: O/U 43.5Over won
Patriots vs. Jets: O/U 49.5Over won
Patriots vs. Jets: O/U 53.5Under won
Spread: Patriots (-12.5)Patriots won
Spread: Patriots (-15.5)Patriots won
Spread: Patriots (-17.5)Patriots won
Spread: Patriots (-28.5)Patriots won
Spread: Patriots (-30.5)Patriots won
Spread: Patriots (-33.5)Jets won
Spread: Patriots (-9.5)Patriots won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Patriots (-13.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event