TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

1H Spread: Patriots (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Patriotsof Patriots, Jets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,054
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,107

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,054 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9061…9510backed Jets52c131$68 inLost-$68.121855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd53…a861backed Patriots47c130$61 inWon+$68.91764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+46.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Jets49c118.12$58 inLost-$58.0815446.8%72 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Patriots45c114$51 inWon+$62.72356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Jets52c113$59 inLost-$58.762634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Jets55c91.45$50 inLost-$503158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Patriots45c61.45$28 inWon+$33.839754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7563…1fb3backed Patriots47c57$27 inWon+$30.211838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05ba…2117backed Jets55c50$28 inLost-$27.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaebc…bb17backed Jets53c45$24 inLost-$23.85742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b1…cac1backed Patriots48c43$21 inWon+$22.36922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.33per pick55cpaid-58.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2d3b…bd9fbacked Patriots48c41$20 inWon+$21.32650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68cc…24adbacked Jets55c41$23 inLost-$22.55757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca0…7ebebacked Jets52c40$21 inLost-$20.8825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46ed…cfa6backed Patriots51c39.22$20 inWon+$19.2212250%61 W · 61 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6014…5a58backed Patriots48c36$17 inWon+$18.721233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-40.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Patriots47c35$16 inWon+$18.551758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6468…e03dbacked Patriots48c32$15 inWon+$16.64837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jets52c30.67$16 inLost-$15.9375852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc55…9f7cbacked Jets53c30$16 inLost-$15.9560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab0…8383backed Jets53c28$15 inLost-$14.84837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9431…6270backed Jets53c27$14 inLost-$14.31944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x320f…b4a3backed Patriots45c24$11 inWon+$13.21154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98ae…2bfebacked Jets55c23$13 inLost-$12.65520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-63%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce9b…0bc0backed Jets53c21$11 inLost-$11.131283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+57%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Jets52c20$10 inLost-$10.41947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69b6…a5f3backed Patriots50c20$10 inWon+$102268.2%15 W · 7 L+5.7wins+0.26per pick42cpaid+60%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.