TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Patriots (-33.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Jetsof Patriots, Jets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$210,654
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$212,670

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,654 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfa21…1438backed Patriots64c199,507$126,804 inLost-$126,803.736459.4%38 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jets36c59,826$21,340 inWon+$38,486.0983147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9201…e578backed Jets35c25,756$9,029 inWon+$16,726.773053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Jets36c21,000$7,570 inWon+$13,4305042%21 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Jets38c21,000$7,980 inWon+$13,02013065.4%85 W · 45 L+17.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+37.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Jets39c20,550$7,968 inWon+$12,582.1419651.5%101 W · 95 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Jets38c17,796$6,771 inWon+$11,024.7810462.5%65 W · 39 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+45.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Jets35c8,532$2,965 inWon+$5,566.327164.8%46 W · 25 L+10.7wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Jets38c6,000$2,280 inWon+$3,7204261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5836…4d03backed Jets38c3,947$1,500 inWon+$2,447.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jets38c3,496$1,328 inWon+$2,167.5460049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6f1…b386backed Jets38c2,632$1,000 inWon+$1,631.581225%3 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-49.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Patriots13c2,000$250 inLost-$25016955%93 W · 76 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Jets38c1,711$650 inWon+$1,060.532050%10 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Patriots60c1,000$600 inLost-$6002454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Jets38c1,000$380 inWon+$6202560%15 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked Jets38c800$304 inWon+$4961573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Jets33c674.1$225 inWon+$449.2536341.9%152 W · 211 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb74d…9b2abacked Patriots15c200$30 inLost-$301323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick11cpaid+128.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Patriots15c200$30 inLost-$30549.3%5 W · 49 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Patriots15c100$15 inLost-$152711.1%3 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jets38c65.79$25 inWon+$40.7914952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0f…09debacked Jets37c54.05$20 inWon+$34.057841%32 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83a2…35d7backed Jets38c52.63$20 inWon+$32.63475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+52%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.