UFC · resolved market

UFC 324: Perez vs. Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c4c6de4a3b6acad2a3ad4352a173fe4fe4f2ad53c14265f6c3ebd180446d5fa

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Perezof Perez, Johnson
Resolved: Jan 24, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $783,986
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $843,964

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $783,986 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 339 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Johnson	61c	208,779$126,789 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126,789.24	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Perez	37c	191,094$70,994 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120,100.36	191	54.5%104 W · 87 L	+14.9wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Perez	39c	173,979$67,785 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106,194.05	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+5.3wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Johnson	62c	108,885$67,808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67,808.42	195	44.6%87 W · 108 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Johnson	63c	41,402$26,086 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,085.73	130	39.2%51 W · 79 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Johnson	61c	39,960$24,376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,375.6	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Johnson	62c	32,051$20,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,027.38	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Perez	40c	30,000$12,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,000	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Perez	40c	30,000$12,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,000	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Johnson	60c	30,000$18,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,999.98	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-5.7wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5227…f9bdbacked Perez	39c	26,246$10,123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,122.45	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Johnson	62c	25,685$15,860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,860.21	44	65.9%29 W · 15 L	+4.3wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6b4…a278backed Perez	39c	20,540$7,909 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,631.09	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Johnson	61c	20,526$12,521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,520.74	291	51.9%151 W · 140 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Perez	39c	17,400$6,723 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,676.88	352	53.1%187 W · 165 L	+27.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Johnson	64c	16,258$10,345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,344.88	371	52.8%196 W · 175 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Perez	48c	13,110$6,257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,852.61	267	43.8%117 W · 150 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d10…e270backed Perez	39c	12,500$4,875 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,625	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7690…74e1backed Johnson	64c	11,460$7,333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,333	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Johnson	58c	10,728$6,199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,198.9	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Perez	40c	10,000$3,970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,030	300	39.3%118 W · 182 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x832d…d420backed Perez	41c	10,000$4,081 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,918.65	76	56.6%43 W · 33 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dc6…9889backed Johnson	61c	8,200$5,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,002	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef38…ae8cbacked Johnson	61c	8,000$4,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,880	64	53.1%34 W · 30 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Johnson	62c	7,500$4,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,649.97	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Perez	41c	7,283$2,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,333.06	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+3.0wins	+0.19per pick	50cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Johnson	60c	7,216$4,306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,305.57	156	41%64 W · 92 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Johnson	14c	7,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Perez	38c	7,000$2,660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,339.93	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+3.9wins	+0.23per pick	48cpaid	+62.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Johnson	60c	6,806$4,098 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,097.57	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Johnson	2c	6,468$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.18	72	51.4%37 W · 35 L	+7.0wins	+0.10per pick	42cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Perez	39c	6,433$2,506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,926.52	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Perez	40c	6,250$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,750	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf40…87debacked Johnson	61c	5,738$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,500	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a33…c087backed Johnson	61c	5,079$3,098 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,098	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Perez	39c	5,000$1,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,050	67	38.8%26 W · 41 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d13…c3dcbacked Johnson	61c	5,000$3,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,050	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6295…6abebacked Johnson	1c	5,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-37%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e3b…fc0bbacked Perez	38c	4,898$1,876 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,021.85	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked Johnson	64c	4,475$2,862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,862.27	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	69cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Johnson	20c	4,036$809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$809.24	159	39.6%63 W · 96 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Perez	39c	4,000$1,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,439.96	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Perez	40c	3,830$1,532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,298.1	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1375…4c69backed Johnson	63c	3,491$2,199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,199.34	70	40%28 W · 42 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4db0…d3eabacked Johnson	59c	3,145$1,855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,855.41	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Perez	40c	3,049$1,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,829.4	75	28%21 W · 54 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Johnson	62c	3,000$1,860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,860	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Perez	37c	3,000$1,110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,889.99	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1307…d640backed Johnson	61c	2,590$1,580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,580	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.19per pick	62cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Johnson	11c	2,541$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.41	274	48.2%132 W · 142 L	+12.7wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Perez	40c	2,541$1,015 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,525.68	50	50%25 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Perez	38c	2,500$950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,550	120	52.5%63 W · 57 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Perez	39c	2,500$975 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,525	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Johnson	1c	2,451$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.51	280	43.2%121 W · 159 L	+10.6wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed Perez	41c	2,434$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,434.16	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Perez	39c	2,263$872 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,391.59	42	28.6%12 W · 30 L	-4.3wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e58…3864backed Johnson	59c	2,232$1,317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,316.95	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc64e…fd52backed Johnson	9c	2,100$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Johnson	15c	1,814$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.54	88	40.9%36 W · 52 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Perez	39c	1,800$702 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,098	137	35.8%49 W · 88 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Johnson	35c	1,768$622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$622.09	331	32%106 W · 225 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Johnson	62c	1,753$1,087 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,086.86	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Johnson	52c	1,743$912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$911.87	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Perez	38c	1,734$651 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,082.96	36	25%9 W · 27 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5031…1ffbbacked Johnson	61c	1,639$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34cf…7188backed Johnson	61c	1,579$963 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$963.19	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Perez	39c	1,519$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$919.23	86	50%43 W · 43 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Johnson	60c	1,470$882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$882	111	40.5%45 W · 66 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed Perez	38c	1,332$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$831.82	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Johnson	17c	1,322$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.91	201	39.8%80 W · 121 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3523…a266backed Johnson	61c	1,302$794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$794.18	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	60cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Perez	40c	1,293$517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$775.5	121	34.7%42 W · 79 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Perez	39c	1,282$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$782.05	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Perez	39c	1,282$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$782.05	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	-5.8wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Johnson	60c	1,233$740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$739.67	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Perez	39c	1,231$481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$749.65	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf0…ad64backed Johnson	61c	1,229$749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$749.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c31…5240backed Perez	36c	1,113$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$713.32	86	40.7%35 W · 51 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Johnson	59c	1,050$619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619.39	96	38.5%37 W · 59 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Perez	38c	1,001$382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$618.99	180	38.9%70 W · 110 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Johnson	61c	1,000$610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610	178	50%89 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Perez	38c	999.99$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$620	202	33.7%68 W · 134 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Perez	39c	980.45$382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$598.07	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Perez	39c	871.04$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$531.68	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+3.0wins	+0.16per pick	47cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa253…7630backed Johnson	61c	820$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.2	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-15%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Johnson	61c	811.9$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.9	208	37%77 W · 131 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0fc…b59ebacked Johnson	5c	800$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8d46…cf8bbacked Johnson	64c	781.25$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f91…40adbacked Perez	38c	749.97$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$467.48	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14c3…df68backed Perez	40c	742$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$445.2	82	48.8%40 W · 42 L	+6.3wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf5f…b574backed Johnson	62c	717.23$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.68	62	62.9%39 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd544…4d5ebacked Perez	35c	714.92$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$464.92	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Johnson	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	-7.1wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x701b…0298backed Perez	77c	651.78$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.78	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d2…a62dbacked Johnson	62c	646.87$398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.14	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x012c…478ebacked Johnson	62c	643.61$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Johnson	63c	639.24$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.72	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5df…0f22backed Johnson	65c	632.42$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412	58	51.7%30 W · 28 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Perez	39c	625.64$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$381.64	69	37.7%26 W · 43 L	-7.6wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5885…14c1backed Johnson	62c	625$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC 324: Perez vs. Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)this page
Fight to Go the Distance?No won
O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
Will Charles Johnson win by KO or TKO?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC 324: Perez vs. Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event