NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb751cabe5bc33da34c621b7e7192089f327818a48dc447e00872c48fee48188c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $205,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $206,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Over | 51c | 119,608$61,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,496.24 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Under | 48c | 80,000$38,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,599.99 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 39,075$19,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,946.51 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Over | 52c | 25,260$13,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,135.2 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 49c | 13,281$6,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,507.67 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd923…a13fbacked Under | 49c | 11,855$5,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,046.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f6…fbfbbacked Under | 51c | 7,867$4,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,854.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…25a9backed Under | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 3,194$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.85 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Under | 53c | 2,963$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.16 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…cc8ebacked Under | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Over | 51c | 2,359$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.89 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…e780backed Under | 51c | 2,337$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…b9e9backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 1,956$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.14 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 1,818$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.39 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Under | 49c | 1,784$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.67 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Over | 69c | 1,430$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 49c | 1,350$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.5 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 51c | 1,146$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.49 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Over | 48c | 995$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.58 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 51c | 980.79$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 51c | 913.71$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.77 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -11.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 49c | 803$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.53 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…3b2ebacked Under | 55c | 549.63$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.63 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under | 49c | 538$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.38 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 47c | 525$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.75 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 50c | 426.08$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.08 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 372.4$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.92 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Over | 52c | 360.58$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcad0…d5bfbacked Over | 51c | 310$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 63c | 289.32$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.57 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 55c | 249.2$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.21 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Under | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | -12.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed Over | 49c | 204.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…6bc7backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 50c | 203$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Over | 43c | 182.46$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.46 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 57c | 151$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.93 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Over | 46c | 142.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 56c | 137$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 57c | 115$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b9…1fa5backed Over | 44c | 110.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Over | 52c | 108.17$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Under | 57c | 107$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…4b57backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 57c | 98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +10.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked Over | 49c | 94.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Under | 51c | 78.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 53c | 72.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…c5b1backed Over | 52c | 71.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Under | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 50c | 68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 51c | 65.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -12.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Under | 47c | 63.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f19…e03ebacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 49c | 60.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Over | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 36c | 59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…0912backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Over | 52c | 47.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Over | 43c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x715c…78c0backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a81…b783backed Over | 52c | 38.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 64c | 36.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5373…e46bbacked Over | 52c | 35.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x084c…7544backed Under | 48c | 34.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 340 | 50.3%171 W · 169 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked Over | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Over | 43c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked Over | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Over | 44c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…47f8backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -6.9wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3b…bd9fbacked Over | 43c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Under | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 51c | 24.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…241bbacked Under | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Over | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Over | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 230.5this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-3.5)Hornets won
- Hornets vs. MagicHornets won
- Hornets vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Magic: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 232.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.