Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa06935fde280e69215dcb7f62ca5e2af747172d02b6c97bf0fda27a4a8b26b73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Over | 46c | 17,588$8,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,090.29 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 8,558$5,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,363.15 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 45c | 6,925$3,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,114.99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 55c | 4,602$2,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.82 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 30c | 3,700$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.99 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 56c | 3,608$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.37 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 14c | 1,058$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.69 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d7babacked Over | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 54c | 972.4$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.3 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 55c | 940.29$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.25 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 57c | 930.58$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.22 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 44c | 833.41$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.7 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 54c | 790.24$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.78 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 13c | 729.08$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.78 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 80c | 673.76$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.03 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 35c | 599.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Over | 13c | 579.91$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.27 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 58c | 487.4$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.71 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 16c | 431.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.35 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 54c | 378.26$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 9c | 317.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Under | 56c | 266.62$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.31 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 54c | 263.62$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.27 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 44c | 241.13$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.1 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Under | 54c | 197.19$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 32c | 190.68$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.46 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Under | 55c | 181.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -52%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 55c | 180.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.17 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Over | 44c | 173.23$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.22 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 44c | 159.66$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.25 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 44c | 154.61$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa8…a410backed Over | 44c | 131.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 44c | 120.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Over | 44c | 120.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Under | 54c | 109.95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 54c | 109.95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 54c | 109.95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +7.3wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 54c | 109.95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Under | 54c | 109.95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 54c | 109.95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 76c | 94.43$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Under | 50c | 91.18$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 44c | 87.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 44c | 87.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 44c | 81.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 55c | 81.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 44c | 79.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 44c | 79.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 55c | 70.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 44c | 68.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x876d…1327backed Over | 44c | 61.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…bea0backed Over | 26c | 59.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47b2…4eb3backed Under | 61c | 48.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb09a…7fc7backed Under | 61c | 48.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 44c | 44.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…d3fbbacked Over | 44c | 44.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Over | 44c | 44.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 56c | 43.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…af5ebacked Under | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Under | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd99a…1f3ebacked Over | 44c | 35.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…efabbacked Over | 43c | 33.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…fa8ebacked Over | 46c | 29.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Over | 47c | 23.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…e2a0backed Under | 55c | 22.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 54c | 21.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 54c | 21.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 56c | 20.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under | 54c | 19.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Henan FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.