Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcbc322ba6213ddf5a4e760994248c252221447fc2d61b713c6b52d1338cfb24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 1,733$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.77 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 35c | 1,372$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.51 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 1,278$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.21 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 73c | 673.84$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.94 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 73c | 656.86$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.51 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Under | 48c | 603.43$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.76 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 13c | 501.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 71c | 395.33$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.53 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 35c | 294.07$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.92 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Over | 29c | 254.21$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.72 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 28c | 206.69$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.27 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…a4aabacked Over | 20c | 119$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 28c | 107.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.79 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 69c | 104.95$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.07 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 49c | 104.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 56c | 104.31$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 25c | 94.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Over | 56c | 86.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 61c | 84.28$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 43c | 78.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…efabbacked Under | 75c | 77.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 55c | 70.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Over | 72c | 64.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 77c | 58.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 65c | 43.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Under | 30c | 39.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 71c | 29.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 72c | 22.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Under | 65c | 19.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa738…ddedbacked Over | 66c | 16.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 69c | 16.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Henan FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.