Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Henan FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf5d220ea7a4f375a86606004a4f5730879b5186bc4c4e0fa1d05d732acda5fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac47…d234backed Yes | 53c | 8,630$4,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,573.41 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 47c | 7,720$3,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,091.52 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 50c | 1,391$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.63 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 50c | 805.27$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.64 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 50c | 805.27$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.64 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Yes | 50c | 805.27$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.64 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +7.3wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Yes | 50c | 805.27$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.64 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 50c | 805.27$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.64 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Yes | 50c | 757.4$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.7 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 50c | 757.4$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.7 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 520.85$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.37 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 23c | 414.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 44c | 252.54$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.18 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes | 50c | 223.41$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.71 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4277…3154backed Yes | 52c | 215.14$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.87 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Yes | 50c | 203.01$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.6 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked No | 45c | 165.46$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.01 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 73c | 124.75$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 22c | 104.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…eafabacked No | 56c | 97.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked No | 47c | 71.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 50c | 64.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 50c | 64.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Yes | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Yes | 50c | 31.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed No | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 50c | 30.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…292bbacked Yes | 50c | 28.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82b…4a75backed Yes | 50c | 23.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Henan FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.