TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Liverpool FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$190,734
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$203,153

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,734 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Under61c53,072$32,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,296.1216040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x840d…3708backed Under0c46,220$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.543327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c13,513$7,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,655.296,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Over42c12,177$5,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,062.669746.4%45 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over39c9,881$3,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,027.4220545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over53c9,440$5,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,436.798153.1%43 W · 38 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over39c8,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,88014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Under58c6,329$3,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,654.874860.4%29 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Over39c6,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,66013155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over42c5,052$2,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,949.0776842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under64c4,179$2,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,688.993871.1%27 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over39c3,500$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,13515255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,83014158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under73c2,256$1,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,642.951,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over38c2,233$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.284,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over39c1,977$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.751,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf63a…90e6backed Over48c1,684$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.85771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under55c1,316$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.9774644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under58c1,202$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.9612949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c1,200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15933.2%3 W · 90 L-0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under3c1,070$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9513250.8%67 W · 65 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under60c1,010$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.7955751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Under58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5804841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Over39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61012157%69 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61017062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61014459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under58c907.45$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.321,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over39c900$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54914355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over41c900$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5315056%28 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over42c869.67$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.8161143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked Under61c800.49$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.3850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Over39c800$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48814354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Over39c800$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48812757.5%73 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over39c800$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48813855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over40c759.15$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.496451.6%33 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89ec…ed41backed Over39c692.83$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.63540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over38c643.04$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.5982763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Over40c604.91$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over32c593.38$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.54645.7%21 W · 25 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf97e…3947backed Under58c560$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2754153.7%22 W · 19 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+74.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30517959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30516858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Over39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30514658.2%85 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30513858.7%81 W · 57 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over40c499.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30011828%33 W · 85 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb026…9c7bbacked Under55c491.37$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.251942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under59c486.44$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28713353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over39c460$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.618156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over33c459.59$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.938236.6%30 W · 52 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc454…8c31backed Under47c436.91$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.352218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under47c435.69$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.7729250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Over49c398.55$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.712231.8%7 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+46.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over39c364.17$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.1432345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Under38c362.66$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.817652.6%40 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under61c360$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.841850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Over38c358.94$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.464040%16 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under62c316.84$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.4424052.9%127 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce0…6599backed Under10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Over39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18310960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Over39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18310860.2%65 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Over31c296.64$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.538445.2%38 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over35c274.57$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.472147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over49c251.25$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7872142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over41c223.08$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.621,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over39c214.48$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.8359247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over31c211.4$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.5914975.8%113 W · 36 L+26.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+38.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x8562…ad77backed Over48c210$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+66.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4c…39c0backed Under6c207.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.44166.3%1 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed Over60c200.11$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.048858%51 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Over39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12212558.4%73 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12210558.1%61 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x191a…b47dbacked Under10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20140%0 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under72c199.03$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.687342.5%31 W · 42 L-7.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under60c198.78$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.351,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Under59c181.85$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.298653.5%46 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecd5…a3a2backed Under56c174.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.34728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-47.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8796…c744backed Over46c163$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.022941.4%12 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under54c160.9$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4928456.7%161 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under61c160.1$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6622242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over39c150$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.556158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over39c150$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Over39c149.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.497853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79fb…c230backed Under10c145.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.56130%0 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under59c142.26$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9369851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over39c138.18$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0513132.1%42 W · 89 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Under61c131.84$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4218453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over40c124.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758037.5%30 W · 50 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under55c114.92$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.214245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under58c113.19$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6513846.4%64 W · 74 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under50c100.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.447037.1%26 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6215738.9%61 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6119853%105 W · 93 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2af…3880backed Over54c97.53$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.86742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over11c97.26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.568648.8%42 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Under45c96.7$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.521127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa203…11bcbacked Under43c96.58$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.531225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over38c96.28$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6985048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over39c91.93$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.087954.4%43 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1fc…5da8backed Over41c88.74$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.361353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.