Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fb0176517b8c4975a5f36d6cee124c8f29d74c47afabbd9220992d6d6075643
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L1ga Teamof Nemiga Gaming, L1ga Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1994…d63cbacked L1ga Team | 57c | 2,500$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 2,337$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.76 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 1,212$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.34 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 53c | 1,143$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.41 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 66c | 1,111$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.37 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked L1ga Team | 50c | 995.99$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.99 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed L1ga Team | 45c | 920.85$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.47 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 863.47$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.58 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked L1ga Team | 61c | 758.95$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.88 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2258…0eecbacked L1ga Team | 76c | 748.69$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 671.44$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.86 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked L1ga Team | 54c | 630.63$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.6 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 53c | 403.85$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.4 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed L1ga Team | 53c | 401$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.47 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed L1ga Team | 63c | 397.18$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.93 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Nemiga Gaming | 9c | 370.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Nemiga Gaming | 7c | 355$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 7c | 328.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Nemiga Gaming | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 6c | 264.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Nemiga Gaming | 8c | 259$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed L1ga Team | 49c | 239.14$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.96 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 239.12$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 230.4$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.22 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Nemiga Gaming | 59c | 213.61$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.68 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 39c | 197.94$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Nemiga Gaming | 63c | 184.7$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.36 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed L1ga Team | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ef…840bbacked L1ga Team | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Nemiga Gaming | 43c | 159.89$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed L1ga Team | 39c | 140.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.33 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nemiga Gaming | 51c | 134.11$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed L1ga Team | 60c | 100.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked L1ga Team | 73c | 98.37$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 93.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed L1ga Team | 45c | 86.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked L1ga Team | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked L1ga Team | 68c | 79.66$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed L1ga Team | 51c | 75.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…3769backed Nemiga Gaming | 23c | 61.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked L1ga Team | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed L1ga Team | 68c | 40.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed L1ga Team | 55c | 34.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed L1ga Team | 56c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed L1ga Team | 67c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…57d0backed Nemiga Gaming | 63c | 30.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2295…8f0fbacked L1ga Team | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked L1ga Team | 45c | 29.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 29.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7d…8ee2backed L1ga Team | 69c | 29.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed L1ga Team | 47c | 27.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed L1ga Team | 75c | 14.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs L1ga Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 PlayoffsL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs L1ga Team - Game 1 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.