Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05a16abed3d83e3c690aeefd629379301e12d5aa28b56820863d24e7d5d9993e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South America Rejectsof PARIVISION, South America Rejects
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $459,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $559,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $459,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 362 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION | 64c | 30,682$19,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,584.32 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed PARIVISION | 62c | 20,932$13,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,014.49 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed South America Rejects | 54c | 12,331$6,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,650.81 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked South America Rejects | 42c | 10,932$4,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300.49 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed South America Rejects | 30c | 10,593$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,432.92 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed South America Rejects | 26c | 9,170$2,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,758.44 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked South America Rejects | 48c | 8,866$4,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,580.1 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed PARIVISION | 74c | 6,621$4,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,923.06 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed PARIVISION | 71c | 6,000$4,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,259.99 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed South America Rejects | 52c | 5,809$3,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,806.17 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed PARIVISION | 1c | 5,663$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.13 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed South America Rejects | 33c | 5,257$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,510.63 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed PARIVISION | 73c | 4,970$3,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,628.17 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed South America Rejects | 53c | 4,964$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,330.68 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed South America Rejects | 30c | 4,582$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,216.58 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed South America Rejects | 44c | 4,389$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,473.49 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked PARIVISION | 14c | 4,296$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.61 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed PARIVISION | 46c | 4,217$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.26 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked South America Rejects | 47c | 4,125$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188.16 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed South America Rejects | 35c | 4,076$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,634.16 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked PARIVISION | 70c | 3,693$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,584.92 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed South America Rejects | 33c | 3,526$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,368.97 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed PARIVISION | 55c | 3,509$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946.35 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked South America Rejects | 41c | 3,165$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.45 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked South America Rejects | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked PARIVISION | 68c | 2,888$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.97 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked South America Rejects | 30c | 2,864$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.09 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed South America Rejects | 51c | 2,766$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.8 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed South America Rejects | 54c | 2,599$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.53 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…c32ebacked PARIVISION | 8c | 2,554$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.75 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked PARIVISION | 56c | 2,500$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed South America Rejects | 54c | 2,250$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed South America Rejects | 41c | 2,250$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.99 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked PARIVISION | 40c | 2,180$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed South America Rejects | 59c | 2,140$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.11 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed PARIVISION | 67c | 2,101$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.5 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed PARIVISION | 70c | 2,035$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.5 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed South America Rejects | 49c | 2,023$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.88 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked South America Rejects | 53c | 2,017$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.14 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked South America Rejects | 54c | 1,916$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.51 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked South America Rejects | 33c | 1,809$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.77 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked PARIVISION | 68c | 1,803$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.91 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed PARIVISION | 72c | 1,750$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked South America Rejects | 50c | 1,750$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.49 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed PARIVISION | 73c | 1,700$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.99 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked PARIVISION | 70c | 1,698$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.57 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed PARIVISION | 69c | 1,653$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.24 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked PARIVISION | 56c | 1,653$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.72 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed South America Rejects | 26c | 1,600$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed South America Rejects | 28c | 1,590$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.99 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed South America Rejects | 40c | 1,578$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.77 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked PARIVISION | 8c | 1,515$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.97 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked South America Rejects | 39c | 1,504$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.92 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed South America Rejects | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed PARIVISION | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked South America Rejects | 52c | 1,500$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.93 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed South America Rejects | 49c | 1,499$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.78 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked South America Rejects | 32c | 1,474$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.71 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed PARIVISION | 28c | 1,432$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.21 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed South America Rejects | 47c | 1,410$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.97 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed PARIVISION | 71c | 1,391$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.35 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked South America Rejects | 29c | 1,357$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.38 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a38…4e1abacked PARIVISION | 71c | 1,331$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked South America Rejects | 30c | 1,331$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.67 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked PARIVISION | 47c | 1,309$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.53 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed PARIVISION | 56c | 1,262$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.84 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…d235backed South America Rejects | 40c | 1,242$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.75 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed South America Rejects | 30c | 1,131$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.15 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed PARIVISION | 47c | 1,090$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.75 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed PARIVISION | 50c | 1,073$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.96 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed PARIVISION | 58c | 1,070$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.39 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked PARIVISION | 5c | 1,050$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…0848backed South America Rejects | 57c | 1,044$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.98 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked PARIVISION | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.41 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked PARIVISION | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed PARIVISION | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed PARIVISION | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed South America Rejects | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…8a01backed South America Rejects | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed PARIVISION | 50c | 992.54$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.27 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked PARIVISION | 71c | 991.13$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.47 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked PARIVISION | 48c | 973.95$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.4 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed South America Rejects | 51c | 958.81$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.63 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed South America Rejects | 50c | 958.28$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.14 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…c1cfbacked PARIVISION | 17c | 950.43$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.14 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d1…555dbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 915.51$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.56 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed PARIVISION | 65c | 898.86$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.09 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked PARIVISION | 51c | 871.48$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.08 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed PARIVISION | 69c | 869.83$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.76 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed South America Rejects | 59c | 833.32$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.77 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed PARIVISION | 50c | 801.22$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.45 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed South America Rejects | 28c | 799.61$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.72 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed South America Rejects | 50c | 780$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked PARIVISION | 23c | 772.03$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.28 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…d613backed PARIVISION | 71c | 763.43$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.59 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked South America Rejects | 53c | 748.23$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.19 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked South America Rejects | 31c | 729.4$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.28 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked PARIVISION | 64c | 703.91$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.05 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf445…703ebacked South America Rejects | 56c | 663.61$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION | 48c | 662.31$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.02 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StagePARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs South America Rejects (+1.5)South America Rejects won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.