Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9661bd00e69f9b782dd0de175ffcf17c8cff7a2b419274dc2a145da58d93134
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, South America Rejects
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $269,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $270,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x913c…39b3backed South America Rejects | 13c | 54,206$6,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,895.11 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed PARIVISION | 72c | 23,542$16,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,566.51 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed South America Rejects | 0c | 16,666$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d11…99cabacked South America Rejects | 13c | 15,554$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.42 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed South America Rejects | 30c | 14,722$4,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,416.69 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed PARIVISION | 72c | 8,411$6,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.08 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed South America Rejects | 29c | 8,395$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.98 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8bf3backed PARIVISION | 71c | 7,468$5,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.65 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed South America Rejects | 32c | 5,931$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.91 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION | 70c | 4,992$3,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.66 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed South America Rejects | 10c | 4,312$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.26 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked PARIVISION | 72c | 4,300$3,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.93 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed South America Rejects | 8c | 4,010$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.05 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558a…02d9backed PARIVISION | 70c | 2,936$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked PARIVISION | 70c | 2,880$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.71 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed PARIVISION | 71c | 2,786$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.15 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed South America Rejects | 17c | 2,617$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked South America Rejects | 28c | 2,577$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.43 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked PARIVISION | 72c | 2,382$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.04 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked PARIVISION | 70c | 2,245$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.37 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed South America Rejects | 27c | 2,070$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.9 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed South America Rejects | 28c | 2,020$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.47 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed South America Rejects | 27c | 1,963$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.09 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed South America Rejects | 28c | 1,956$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.64 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed South America Rejects | 12c | 1,798$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.64 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked South America Rejects | 1c | 1,786$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed South America Rejects | 29c | 1,750$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.39 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed South America Rejects | 28c | 1,746$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.76 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed South America Rejects | 3c | 1,676$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed South America Rejects | 29c | 1,674$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.58 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked South America Rejects | 13c | 1,458$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.58 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked PARIVISION | 70c | 1,314$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.93 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed South America Rejects | 25c | 1,253$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.22 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed PARIVISION | 70c | 1,251$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.24 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked South America Rejects | 13c | 1,250$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.84 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked South America Rejects | 26c | 1,220$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.25 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed PARIVISION | 69c | 1,181$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.69 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed South America Rejects | 28c | 1,138$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.61 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed South America Rejects | 28c | 1,042$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.96 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed PARIVISION | 71c | 1,034$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked South America Rejects | 28c | 1,025$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.04 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed PARIVISION | 69c | 1,017$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked South America Rejects | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed South America Rejects | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed PARIVISION | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked South America Rejects | 4c | 999.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed PARIVISION | 70c | 983$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.89 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked South America Rejects | 9c | 980.46$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.79 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed South America Rejects | 10c | 945.79$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.58 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c5…b9b6backed South America Rejects | 30c | 931.82$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.19 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked South America Rejects | 31c | 833.98$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.53 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed South America Rejects | 17c | 816.8$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.75 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed South America Rejects | 7c | 768.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…4a1cbacked PARIVISION | 70c | 715$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed South America Rejects | 28c | 698.55$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.77 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked PARIVISION | 68c | 686.4$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.65 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed PARIVISION | 72c | 673.6$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.67 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked South America Rejects | 28c | 655.41$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.51 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed PARIVISION | 75c | 640$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed PARIVISION | 75c | 590$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x527c…5f6cbacked South America Rejects | 11c | 502.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked South America Rejects | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed PARIVISION | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed South America Rejects | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked PARIVISION | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked South America Rejects | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked South America Rejects | 30c | 484.24$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.33 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed South America Rejects | 6c | 468.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2b…19a4backed South America Rejects | 9c | 425.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -9.6wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed PARIVISION | 70c | 424$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed PARIVISION | 71c | 402$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.82 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed South America Rejects | 27c | 400.21$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.96 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed South America Rejects | 3c | 399.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed South America Rejects | 20c | 395.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.79 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed South America Rejects | 24c | 390.72$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.21 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION | 77c | 385.13$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5c…5b3bbacked PARIVISION | 78c | 377.83$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.12 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed South America Rejects | 4c | 375.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed South America Rejects | 6c | 364.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked PARIVISION | 73c | 363.78$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed South America Rejects | 11c | 351.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…d567backed South America Rejects | 11c | 344.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…f432backed South America Rejects | 28c | 341.03$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.49 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed PARIVISION | 70c | 310.31$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.09 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed PARIVISION | 72c | 292.93$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.02 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…d718backed PARIVISION | 73c | 290$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked South America Rejects | 31c | 289.96$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.89 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed South America Rejects | 31c | 287.58$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.15 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed PARIVISION | 70c | 273.21$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.96 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed South America Rejects | 14c | 271.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 269.53$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed South America Rejects | 26c | 261.57$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.72 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…6d09backed South America Rejects | 15c | 258.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked South America Rejects | 28c | 256.29$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed South America Rejects | 25c | 248.3$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed South America Rejects | 28c | 239.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…9bacbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 238.72$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…831dbacked South America Rejects | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed South America Rejects | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked PARIVISION | 78c | 197.36$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StagePARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects - Game 1 WinnerSouth America Rejects won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs South America Rejects (+1.5)South America Rejects won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.