TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
L1ga Teamof Team Nemesis, L1ga Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,801
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,886

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,801 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed L1ga Team52c10,843$5,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,247.861,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Nemesis45c6,390$2,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,844.771,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Nemesis50c6,075$3,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,041.8480256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x568e…6980backed L1ga Team50c4,826$2,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,413.131070%7 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick42cpaid+69.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed L1ga Team50c4,500$2,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,229.9779959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed L1ga Team76c3,333$2,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.1215457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Team Nemesis40c3,200$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28056852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc646…e394backed Team Nemesis55c2,500$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.5537655.1%207 W · 169 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd679…9ccfbacked Team Nemesis45c2,442$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.1314058.6%82 W · 58 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Nemesis49c2,134$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.7845750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Nemesis49c2,069$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.871,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Nemesis24c1,827$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.519847%93 W · 105 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa80c…5a6dbacked L1ga Team60c1,816$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.311181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick63cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed Team Nemesis2c1,719$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1438855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked L1ga Team75c1,717$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.3977256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Nemesis58c1,690$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9871,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Team Nemesis47c1,447$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68042145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3e5…519dbacked Team Nemesis1c1,320$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.212764.6%82 W · 45 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked L1ga Team60c1,300$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.1155251.6%285 W · 267 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked L1ga Team54c1,296$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.6885851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Team Nemesis50c1,196$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.6344645.7%204 W · 242 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Team Nemesis2c1,148$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7972035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Team Nemesis19c1,119$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.391,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Team Nemesis48c1,111$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.287742.9%33 W · 44 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked L1ga Team64c1,097$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.791,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Nemesis50c1,076$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53841242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Team Nemesis50c994$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49737945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d87…df1dbacked Team Nemesis4c992.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.71346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Team Nemesis47c960$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.255751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0b5…a0d7backed Team Nemesis2c954.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2318042.8%77 W · 103 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked L1ga Team49c945.99$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.4536851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a4d…7a8fbacked L1ga Team49c912.78$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.783542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Nemesis49c910.89$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.231,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Team Nemesis46c875.61$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.1555147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89ff…a8f2backed L1ga Team51c777.23$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.234450%22 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Nemesis18c774.8$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.281,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Team Nemesis2c750$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15442.3%1 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-89.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed L1ga Team49c736.23$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.7922647.3%107 W · 119 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0a…07c7backed L1ga Team56c713.9$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.99063.3%57 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Team Nemesis51c709.75$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.7661456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed L1ga Team50c644.7$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.049946.5%46 W · 53 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Team Nemesis28c643.96$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.011,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked L1ga Team50c634.04$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.0295342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Nemesis26c600.33$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.1396645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Team Nemesis49c593$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.533237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x43dc…86e1backed Team Nemesis52c550.48$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.4324244.6%108 W · 134 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked L1ga Team68c513.25$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.6879859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Team Nemesis34c456.25$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.7460251.2%308 W · 294 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee4b…43dcbacked L1ga Team52c410$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed L1ga Team52c404.42$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19429466%194 W · 100 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9851…1320backed Team Nemesis17c395.95$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.824452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Nemesis3c368.79$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.041,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Team Nemesis49c350$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.574549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c75…de96backed L1ga Team49c343$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17422461.2%137 W · 87 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Nemesis38c321.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.91,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa036…550cbacked Team Nemesis45c313.8$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.3130%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed L1ga Team49c304.32$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.3250053%265 W · 235 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4cd…a898backed L1ga Team57c299.96$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.982055%11 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed L1ga Team70c287.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.082951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86bc…efbcbacked L1ga Team58c279.06$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.3423555.7%131 W · 104 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Nemesis46c269.01$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7444149.4%218 W · 223 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed L1ga Team61c264.1$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10315144.4%67 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked Team Nemesis5c260.31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3215536.1%56 W · 99 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked L1ga Team56c241.24$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.1653139.5%210 W · 321 L-37.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Nemesis39c228.5$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1679341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Team Nemesis29c214.72$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6268345.8%313 W · 370 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed Team Nemesis50c204.78$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2813138.9%51 W · 80 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed L1ga Team50c195.61$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8181029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f42…1f72backed L1ga Team53c190$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.331865.1%207 W · 111 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed L1ga Team47c189.01$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3796245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce7a…fef0backed L1ga Team53c187.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9519145.5%87 W · 104 L+13.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team60c185.41$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.642,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed L1ga Team54c185.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3246049.8%229 W · 231 L+2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Team Nemesis53c183.75$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3630647.4%145 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed L1ga Team55c183.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3833041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x968a…3841backed L1ga Team69c167.51$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8720939.2%82 W · 127 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Team Nemesis43c161.84$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.967954.4%43 W · 36 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked L1ga Team79c160$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5154058.9%318 W · 222 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Nemesis28c154.8$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.972,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Team Nemesis24c151.43$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2727636.2%100 W · 176 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0fd…d903backed Team Nemesis7c148.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1170%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Nemesis26c137.58$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4769132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Nemesis48c129.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.465441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11ff…4447backed Team Nemesis50c124$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6222534.2%77 W · 148 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7894…7b9dbacked Team Nemesis47c117.42$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.19425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Team Nemesis55c115$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.244459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Team Nemesis49c109.26$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.547954.4%43 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed L1ga Team50c105.29$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6865647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a7d…8ee2backed Team Nemesis27c105$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.251172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Team Nemesis50c101$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043049.1%211 W · 219 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc2b…d422backed L1ga Team56c99.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.314845.9%68 W · 80 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a9c…535ebacked Team Nemesis49c98.01$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.142540%10 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed L1ga Team51c92.67$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4711652.6%61 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked L1ga Team74c85.68$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.282075%15 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+28.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked L1ga Team56c80.19$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0889938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed L1ga Team39c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.519440.7%79 W · 115 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Team Nemesis36c72.85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.216949.3%34 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed L1ga Team53c70.68$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0814955.7%83 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae1…3769backed L1ga Team49c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.72920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-47.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdca9…0898backed L1ga Team57c69.94$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.85875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.