Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb3db8975c078ca56d9a0cd632be211633a69fe7ffd4a24d0cd57a4d8f05a075
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, L1ga Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed L1ga Team | 62c | 14,722$9,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,165.31 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed L1ga Team | 51c | 6,000$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.99 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 4,384$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.39 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 3,513$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.25 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked L1ga Team | 59c | 3,114$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.26 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Team Nemesis | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked L1ga Team | 16c | 2,821$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.99 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Nemesis | 51c | 2,746$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.5 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked L1ga Team | 61c | 2,700$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Nemesis | 36c | 2,400$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…7a8fbacked Team Nemesis | 38c | 1,862$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.66 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 1,744$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.41 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked L1ga Team | 62c | 1,620$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.4 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Team Nemesis | 35c | 1,421$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.64 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Nemesis | 45c | 1,156$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.69 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked L1ga Team | 57c | 1,146$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.42 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team Nemesis | 35c | 1,094$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.71 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed L1ga Team | 4c | 1,019$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Nemesis | 46c | 1,000$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.19 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Team Nemesis | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed L1ga Team | 64c | 945.88$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.71 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Team Nemesis | 35c | 706.28$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.08 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Nemesis | 52c | 689.88$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.08 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Team Nemesis | 37c | 649$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.4 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Team Nemesis | 32c | 600$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.85 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Team Nemesis | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Nemesis | 34c | 471.21$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Nemesis | 71c | 387.1$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.09 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team | 64c | 373.98$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.7 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Nemesis | 36c | 350$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed Team Nemesis | 52c | 343.35$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.35 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Team Nemesis | 59c | 337.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.05 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed L1ga Team | 4c | 333.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Team Nemesis | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Nemesis | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.2 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed L1ga Team | 6c | 281.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…2d79backed L1ga Team | 13c | 259.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Team Nemesis | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 235$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.45 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked L1ga Team | 68c | 221.66$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed L1ga Team | 49c | 217.54$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.59 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked L1ga Team | 59c | 210.18$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.35 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Team Nemesis | 39c | 205.08$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Nemesis | 59c | 169.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.62 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed L1ga Team | 55c | 166$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Team Nemesis | 36c | 157$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Team Nemesis | 74c | 153$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed L1ga Team | 34c | 144.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked L1ga Team | 67c | 144$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 138.84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.35 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Team Nemesis | 36c | 125$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Team Nemesis | 31c | 119$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.11 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Team Nemesis | 36c | 110$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4802…c8e1backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked L1ga Team | 33c | 101.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Team Nemesis | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed L1ga Team | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed L1ga Team | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis | 46c | 97.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 84.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…dd71backed L1ga Team | 63c | 79.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…a0d7backed Team Nemesis | 35c | 71.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 180 | 42.8%77 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed L1ga Team | 62c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked L1ga Team | 68c | 70$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Team Nemesis | 35c | 69.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 279 | 52.3%146 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed L1ga Team | 66c | 65.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed L1ga Team | 61c | 63.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Team Nemesis | 56c | 62.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked L1ga Team | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2295…8f0fbacked L1ga Team | 36c | 59.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked L1ga Team | 64c | 59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 58.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Team Nemesis | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed L1ga Team | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed L1ga Team | 64c | 48.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed L1ga Team | 65c | 47.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Team Nemesis | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed L1ga Team | 60c | 38.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Team Nemesis | 73c | 36.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed L1ga Team | 51c | 36.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Nemesis | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 31.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea7…a60cbacked L1ga Team | 50c | 31.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed L1ga Team | 45c | 30.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…32bebacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -11.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed L1ga Team | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Team Nemesis | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed L1ga Team | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Group BL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 2 WinnerL1ga Team won
- Game Handicap: L1GA (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)Team Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.