Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9200348b0ec763997c41a5d531966fed5e32e741867721e2b4fb624971f5e1b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L1ga Teamof Team Nemesis, L1ga Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $260,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $297,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed L1ga Team | 59c | 25,897$15,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,651.11 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…8525backed L1ga Team | 58c | 25,698$14,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,811.16 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Nemesis | 31c | 15,562$4,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,863.15 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Team Nemesis | 34c | 11,650$3,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960.98 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Nemesis | 44c | 9,893$4,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,326.85 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked L1ga Team | 54c | 9,759$5,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,468.05 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Nemesis | 44c | 9,377$4,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,118.14 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Team Nemesis | 35c | 8,163$2,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,862.95 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked L1ga Team | 62c | 5,596$3,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.53 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Nemesis | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.98 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80c…5a6dbacked L1ga Team | 68c | 4,500$3,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 63cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…c32ebacked Team Nemesis | 42c | 3,772$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed L1ga Team | 54c | 3,678$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.12 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked L1ga Team | 61c | 3,443$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.62 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Nemesis | 43c | 3,311$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.99 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Team Nemesis | 49c | 3,123$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.81 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed L1ga Team | 60c | 3,100$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Nemesis | 35c | 2,944$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.93 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Team Nemesis | 25c | 2,811$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.71 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 2,049$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.05 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked L1ga Team | 61c | 1,903$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.98 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Team Nemesis | 39c | 1,893$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.32 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Nemesis | 56c | 1,800$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.5 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Nemesis | 52c | 1,756$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.89 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Nemesis | 38c | 1,680$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.4 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 1,657$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked L1ga Team | 61c | 1,545$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.12 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Nemesis | 79c | 1,454$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.96 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…7a8fbacked Team Nemesis | 41c | 1,452$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Team Nemesis | 42c | 1,322$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.86 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Nemesis | 45c | 1,307$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.67 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked L1ga Team | 59c | 1,230$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.22 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked L1ga Team | 62c | 1,187$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.13 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…86e7backed Team Nemesis | 35c | 1,146$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.72 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Nemesis | 44c | 1,144$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.4 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 1,143$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.46 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked L1ga Team | 56c | 1,141$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.67 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 1,090$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.34 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked L1ga Team | 65c | 1,088$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.75 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 1,002$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.77 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed L1ga Team | 37c | 1,000$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.09 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked L1ga Team | 50c | 994$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed L1ga Team | 54c | 922.47$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.47 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…356dbacked Team Nemesis | 32c | 920.02$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed L1ga Team | 32c | 920$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.98 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Nemesis | 66c | 901.02$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.73 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Nemesis | 42c | 861.71$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.69 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked L1ga Team | 40c | 795.54$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.41 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked L1ga Team | 58c | 777.82$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.02 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked L1ga Team | 52c | 776.11$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.11 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Nemesis | 42c | 736.56$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.05 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed L1ga Team | 70c | 715.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.4 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7a…a930backed Team Nemesis | 34c | 703.61$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.07 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 702.8$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.05 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…f432backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 672.38$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…5874backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 640$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1afd…427ebacked Team Nemesis | 41c | 634.95$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.71 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis | 44c | 630.55$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.02 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Team Nemesis | 43c | 622.49$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.67 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa036…550cbacked Team Nemesis | 36c | 613.93$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked L1ga Team | 64c | 606.4$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.95 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Nemesis | 42c | 598.04$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.27 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…0848backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 593.32$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.45 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Nemesis | 43c | 565.91$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.81 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 562$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed L1ga Team | 67c | 501.18$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.18 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Nemesis | 33c | 499.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed L1ga Team | 65c | 488$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.8 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed L1ga Team | 73c | 478$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.36 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked L1ga Team | 58c | 476.05$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.56 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Team Nemesis | 35c | 467.29$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.4 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked L1ga Team | 65c | 449.97$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.28 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked L1ga Team | 49c | 445.29$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.47 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 436.03$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.09 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed L1ga Team | 61c | 436$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.53 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Team Nemesis | 43c | 406.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Team Nemesis | 44c | 400$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…0bccbacked L1ga Team | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked Team Nemesis | 44c | 399.98$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…8313backed L1ga Team | 50c | 397.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.14 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Team Nemesis | 46c | 394.63$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed L1ga Team | 22c | 390.79$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.46 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed L1ga Team | 49c | 382.53$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.04 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6a…1ddbbacked Team Nemesis | 57c | 378$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.71 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked L1ga Team | 55c | 360.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.39 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 355.51$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.65 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…111abacked L1ga Team | 66c | 347.86$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.76 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked L1ga Team | 58c | 342.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.49 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Team Nemesis | 43c | 340.84$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.76 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Team Nemesis | 51c | 338.74$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.71 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c09…b6ffbacked L1ga Team | 51c | 304.14$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.41 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Team Nemesis | 43c | 299.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.91 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team Nemesis | 44c | 293.94$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.33 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…0bcebacked Team Nemesis | 51c | 293.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Team Nemesis | 41c | 291.58$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.55 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Team Nemesis | 43c | 282.3$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.32 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Team Nemesis | 14c | 280.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed L1ga Team | 60c | 271.99$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.4 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Team Nemesis | 40c | 269$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.89 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 2 WinnerL1ga Team won
- Game Handicap: L1GA (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)Team Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.