TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$323,306
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$393,912

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $323,306 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc408…c1efbacked Under54c104,563$56,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,178.534951%25 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54d2…ac37backed Over46c37,460$17,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,333.572454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over46c23,730$11,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,000.5169848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Under69c14,999$10,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,649.8417553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Under54c9,837$5,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,477.944252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under56c9,000$5,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9901,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over31c8,348$2,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,588.0252052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Over50c7,857$3,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,914.874134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over46c7,252$3,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,356.426,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Under53c7,120$3,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,348.0317055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7436…b38abacked Over47c6,393$3,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,004.7530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over46c6,386$2,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,937.6438946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed Over46c5,913$2,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,719.923540%14 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0c0…a6e7backed Over46c4,596$2,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,113.98616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick52cpaid-69.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x54a3…1c90backed Over54c4,448$2,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,401.931145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over46c4,375$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,012.6170246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Over47c4,326$2,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,033.224949%24 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed Over46c4,207$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.23943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over46c4,158$1,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,912.5721943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Over46c3,609$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,660.215345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over45c3,447$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.261,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Over46c3,212$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.35442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c2,448$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.14,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over39c2,209$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.426043.3%26 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Over46c2,103$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.64951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Over32c2,024$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.747248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86066352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over2c1,977$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3131222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Over47c1,925$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.8314940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under53c1,834$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.7814251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over48c1,780$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.962051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Under53c1,556$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.2212450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Under54c1,516$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.3512646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c1,394$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.731,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over47c1,100$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.9945146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over42c1,028$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.82,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Under53c1,018$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.2921957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over31c1,017$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.2736051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under47c968.2$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.151,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Under52c961.99$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.7615246.7%71 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over46c946.29$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.292,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under53c916.79$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.8995452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0960…5adcbacked Under53c916.79$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.891553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under47c858.04$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.883,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over42c852.77$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.6765045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over22c728.35$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.321,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under51c712.42$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.0937355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Over39c681.42$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.759437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c672.55$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.544,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2018…dfc5backed Under53c641.75$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.623737.8%14 W · 23 L-6.1wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-30.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Under50c602$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30126745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over45c586.94$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.4535546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over47c576.92$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.171,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over46c512.47$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.9726638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca2b…e77abacked Over46c510.89$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.013053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over39c505.81$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.5432045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Under53c501.63$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7712451.6%64 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Over46c491.76$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.2111437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Under53c458.4$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.457150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c72…78edbacked Under53c417.51$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.234346.5%20 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under52c404.76$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.2838947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed Under53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18839864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Under44c400$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22412851.6%66 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over8c374.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.751,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78a2…9d46backed Under52c373.54$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.36662.1%41 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Under52c373.54$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.329554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Over47c360.44$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.419857.1%56 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under52c353.24$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.561,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Over43c338.03$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.356845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78bf…6df9backed Under74c332.57$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.476261.3%38 W · 24 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Under52c301.07$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.519652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc059…a1edbacked Under80c270.37$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1812254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over31c251.95$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.161151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over49c227.26$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3689048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5d7…6530backed Over49c223.83$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6840%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeedb…f631backed Under50c220$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1104944.9%22 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over47c216.3$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6610552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over46c210.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7623445.7%107 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Under52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6547357.9%274 W · 199 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ed…f28dbacked Under52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.651450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Under52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6528949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Under53c184.64$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7842348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over48c167.91$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.615545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over44c162.36$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4410256.9%58 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x664f…d100backed Over59c150.52$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.764231%13 W · 29 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-35.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over47c149.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0656043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over46c147.68$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9452150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d95…82e8backed Under52c147.33$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.722152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd95…52fbbacked Under55c141.44$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6513938.8%54 W · 85 L-14.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc6c3…1ab9backed Over48c137.54$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.271643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fc4…7ae7backed Under54c133.98$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.076950.7%35 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over48c130.1$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.351,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over27c127.59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.565630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0271…5673backed Under79c125.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.781741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over39c118.41$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.451,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bc4…0fd1backed Under53c108.18$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.855347.2%25 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over46c107.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5337647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over46c105.17$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3844347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Over53c100.5$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.115253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Under53c99.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4712558.4%73 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.