TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$231,669
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$243,848

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,669 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c48,172$22,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,217.651,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7436…b38abacked Over52c40,600$21,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,272.5630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c20,282$10,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,339.814,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under52c16,290$8,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,773.991,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over1c15,643$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.9931222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under47c10,302$4,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,460.0325248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Over52c9,712$5,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,048.223545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22f9…f814backed Under48c9,293$4,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,832.441553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc8…6ca6backed Under46c8,323$3,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,494.651776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.22per pick54cpaid+62.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe49d…ff91backed Under47c7,044$3,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,733.495655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under66c5,933$3,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,031.758,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Over53c5,925$3,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,140.315341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over53c5,500$2,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,914.971,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed Under55c5,356$2,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4101181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+37.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdf2…23e3backed Over36c4,186$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.753231.3%10 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+136.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over52c4,062$2,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,104.6364948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Under47c4,032$1,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,134.178848.9%43 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb21…3138backed Over54c3,514$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,895.13551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under47c3,359$1,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.7930446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c2,897$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.894,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over51c2,524$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.0215545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under47c2,381$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.1270246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under50c2,059$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.582268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Over50c2,023$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.3182442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over47c2,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.8884342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over54c1,999$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.5618844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde19…3c92backed Over74c1,986$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.951241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over50c1,946$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.296233.9%21 W · 41 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe647…2040backed Under54c1,909$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.975354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under51c1,802$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.21,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57f9…bcd9backed Over49c1,794$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.614841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Over55c1,769$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9738756.3%49 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Over54c1,612$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.7510645.3%48 W · 58 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80089853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fef…a76ebacked Under47c1,554$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.511330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcc9…8883backed Over52c1,471$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c1,396$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.051,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under46c1,392$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.0738947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2bf…0b30backed Under51c1,259$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.84875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+52.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x28ce…979fbacked Under46c1,193$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.04862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+30.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Over53c1,140$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.227246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over45c1,124$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.716043.3%26 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under47c1,100$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58345146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under56c1,020$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.9529650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53044740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x23ef…1d4cbacked Over53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5305337.7%20 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Under50c998.67$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.348452.4%44 W · 40 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Under47c987.95$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.615850%29 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Over54c972.4$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.16031.7%19 W · 41 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Under46c969.52$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.5420057%114 W · 86 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Over53c933.68$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.8922948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over50c933.05$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.7369848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Under48c914.34$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.8120353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x115f…e217backed Over54c900.37$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.22245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over51c888.05$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.8945251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Over55c884.64$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.514045.7%64 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over46c824.56$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.9865045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under47c824$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.7219745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over54c797.45$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.9192058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under60c793.09$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.623,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under47c787.15$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.1917052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over8c783.61$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.692,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under47c694.64$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.2768838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under47c670.97$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.0532045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf592…9872backed Under51c666.1$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3911651.7%60 W · 56 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over35c660.28$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9526638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d46…3248backed Under21c637.61$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.714746.8%22 W · 25 L+6.5wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+81.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under46c604.53$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.8316642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Under47c597.4$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.621850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under45c589.1$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.011,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under47c580.92$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.8935546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Over47c572.98$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.316743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b16ebacked Under50c569.19$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.61457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over29c561.17$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.241,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Over52c548.73$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.3414049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over49c540.65$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.3955251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Over43c526.93$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.628838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over53c503$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.3362051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb48…6ad1backed Over64c500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x942d…896cbacked Over49c458.18$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.52755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc17e…906abacked Over42c432.27$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.51633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+187.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Under46c429.98$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.1962744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under49c408.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.5952951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over53c399.99$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21284150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under47c395.03$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.3640146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Over26c392.54$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.739546.3%44 W · 51 L-11.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-24.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under51c390.19$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.723,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over52c388.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.386,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Under51c385.36$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.4837665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over52c373.54$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2419950.8%101 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Over52c373.54$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.246647%31 W · 35 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec45…6c6dbacked Under48c364.31$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.719156%51 W · 40 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over20c320.34$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8618850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over54c319.47$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.621,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under60c306.59$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.252,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2366…580fbacked Over42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12611347.8%54 W · 59 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over13c300$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3836243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over52c291.36$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.5112536%45 W · 80 L-13.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Under50c291$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.525657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.