NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 213.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadb72d18aa634ff16af4d4e5c4c9973eb0093a97fa8f4d54c2288fbdc808d7bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $231,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $243,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 48,172$22,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,217.65 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7436…b38abacked Over | 52c | 40,600$21,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,272.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 51c | 20,282$10,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,339.81 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 52c | 16,290$8,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,773.99 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 1c | 15,643$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.99 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 47c | 10,302$4,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,460.03 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 52c | 9,712$5,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,048.22 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…f814backed Under | 48c | 9,293$4,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,832.44 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc8…6ca6backed Under | 46c | 8,323$3,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,494.65 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…ff91backed Under | 47c | 7,044$3,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,733.49 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 5,933$3,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.75 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Over | 53c | 5,925$3,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,140.31 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 53c | 5,500$2,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.97 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Under | 55c | 5,356$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,410 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf2…23e3backed Over | 36c | 4,186$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.75 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 52c | 4,062$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.63 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Under | 47c | 4,032$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.17 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb21…3138backed Over | 54c | 3,514$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.1 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 47c | 3,359$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.79 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 2,897$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.89 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over | 51c | 2,524$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.02 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 47c | 2,381$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.12 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under | 50c | 2,059$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.58 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Over | 50c | 2,023$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.31 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 47c | 2,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.88 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 54c | 1,999$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.56 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3c92backed Over | 74c | 1,986$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 50c | 1,946$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.29 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…2040backed Under | 54c | 1,909$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.97 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 51c | 1,802$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.2 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f9…bcd9backed Over | 49c | 1,794$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.61 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Over | 55c | 1,769$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Over | 54c | 1,612$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.75 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fef…a76ebacked Under | 47c | 1,554$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.51 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc9…8883backed Over | 52c | 1,471$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 1,396$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.05 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 46c | 1,392$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.07 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…0b30backed Under | 51c | 1,259$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.84 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28ce…979fbacked Under | 46c | 1,193$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 53c | 1,140$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.2 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 45c | 1,124$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.71 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 56c | 1,020$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.95 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23ef…1d4cbacked Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Under | 50c | 998.67$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.34 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Under | 47c | 987.95$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.61 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Over | 54c | 972.4$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.1 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Under | 46c | 969.52$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.54 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Over | 53c | 933.68$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.89 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 50c | 933.05$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.73 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 48c | 914.34$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.81 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…e217backed Over | 54c | 900.37$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.2 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 51c | 888.05$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.89 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Over | 55c | 884.64$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.5 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 46c | 824.56$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.98 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 47c | 824$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.72 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 54c | 797.45$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.91 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 60c | 793.09$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.62 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 47c | 787.15$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.19 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 8c | 783.61$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 47c | 694.64$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.27 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 47c | 670.97$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.05 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Under | 51c | 666.1$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.39 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 35c | 660.28$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.95 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…3248backed Under | 21c | 637.61$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.71 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 46c | 604.53$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.83 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Under | 47c | 597.4$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.62 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 589.1$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.01 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 47c | 580.92$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.89 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Over | 47c | 572.98$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.3 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked Under | 50c | 569.19$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 29c | 561.17$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.24 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Over | 52c | 548.73$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.34 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 540.65$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.39 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Over | 43c | 526.93$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.6 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 53c | 503$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.33 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb48…6ad1backed Over | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x942d…896cbacked Over | 49c | 458.18$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.5 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Over | 42c | 432.27$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +187.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Under | 46c | 429.98$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.19 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 49c | 408.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.59 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 53c | 399.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 395.03$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.36 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Over | 26c | 392.54$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.73 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 51c | 390.19$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.72 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 388.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.38 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Under | 51c | 385.36$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.48 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Over | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked Under | 48c | 364.31$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.71 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 20c | 320.34$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 54c | 319.47$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.62 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 60c | 306.59$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.25 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…580fbacked Over | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 13c | 300$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 52c | 291.36$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.51 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Under | 50c | 291$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 213.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Magic won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Pistons vs. MagicMagic won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 214.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 215.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Magic won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.