NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x280aa3924ba4b247de5192c87e71c3aaf8c6c021dab7919cb365d85977ed2209

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Magicof Pistons, Magic
Resolved: Apr 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,833,571
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,899,459

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,833,571 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 554 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Magic	50c	777,344$390,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$386,943.39	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Pistons	50c	530,410$262,642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262,642.44	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Magic	49c	199,996$98,998 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100,998.23	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Pistons	51c	121,325$61,876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61,875.75	205	45.9%94 W · 111 L	-12.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9714…76adbacked Pistons	51c	116,405$59,367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59,366.51	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Magic	49c	110,000$54,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55,999.85	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Magic	49c	99,999$48,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50,999.44	246	50%123 W · 123 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Magic	52c	90,572$47,098 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,474.62	172	51.7%89 W · 83 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Pistons	50c	83,591$41,796 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41,795.73	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Pistons	50c	58,924$29,669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,669.13	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Pistons	51c	46,735$23,653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,652.75	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Magic	49c	45,179$22,138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,041.22	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3de4…b032backed Pistons	50c	44,985$22,488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,488.1	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Pistons	51c	43,383$22,048 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,047.83	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Magic	50c	38,800$19,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,400	207	58%120 W · 87 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Pistons	50c	30,296$15,148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,148	76	50%38 W · 38 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Magic	49c	30,190$14,793 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,396.95	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Pistons	51c	28,721$14,556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,556.14	323	51.1%165 W · 158 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Pistons	48c	28,310$13,589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,588.63	277	47.7%132 W · 145 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a35…2fadbacked Pistons	51c	26,302$13,414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,414.17	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Pistons	51c	21,569$11,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,000.02	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661f…098abacked Magic	49c	20,679$10,133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,546.54	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+4.0wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+14%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Pistons	48c	20,183$9,688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,688	59	35.6%21 W · 38 L	-8.3wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Magic	50c	19,400$9,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,700	102	48%49 W · 53 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf721…ecf5backed Pistons	49c	17,103$8,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,380.46	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Magic	51c	15,999$8,151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,848.55	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Magic	50c	15,520$7,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,760	145	38.6%56 W · 89 L	-12.9wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Pistons	48c	13,984$6,712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,712.43	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Pistons	51c	11,904$6,071 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,071.25	381	43%164 W · 217 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Pistons	48c	11,139$5,347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,346.76	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pistons	46c	10,859$4,957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,957.44	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Pistons	50c	9,802$4,901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,901.12	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Pistons	54c	9,724$5,251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,250.96	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x269c…9017backed Pistons	51c	9,706$4,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,950.06	89	53.9%48 W · 41 L	-5.7wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7fd…89debacked Pistons	51c	9,706$4,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,950.06	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Pistons	30c	9,543$2,874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,874.21	99	45.5%45 W · 54 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Pistons	51c	9,523$4,856 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,856.16	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4370…61aebacked Pistons	49c	9,023$4,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,421.43	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Magic	52c	8,547$4,444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,102.35	81	53.1%43 W · 38 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Pistons	51c	8,153$4,158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,158.05	120	56.7%68 W · 52 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pistons	43c	7,962$3,384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,384.17	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Pistons	50c	7,486$3,773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,772.72	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x189a…4765backed Pistons	49c	7,389$3,621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,620.71	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Pistons	48c	7,244$3,487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,487.1	219	43.4%95 W · 124 L	-12.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Magic	39c	7,206$2,786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,419.91	616	38.5%237 W · 379 L	-8.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Pistons	60c	6,377$3,836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,836.31	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Magic	50c	6,175$3,062 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,112.88	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed Pistons	48c	6,055$2,906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,906.4	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Pistons	48c	5,934$2,848 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,848.27	49	51%25 W · 24 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Pistons	49c	5,539$2,714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,714.32	59	40.7%24 W · 35 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Pistons	49c	5,417$2,655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,654.52	144	41%59 W · 85 L	-12.8wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb416…4588backed Pistons	51c	5,047$2,574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,574.03	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Pistons	51c	4,853$2,475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,475.03	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfe6…fcc9backed Pistons	51c	4,745$2,420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,420.08	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pistons	48c	4,500$2,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,160	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Pistons	49c	4,277$2,097 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,096.63	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Pistons	49c	4,227$2,071 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,071.12	126	46%58 W · 68 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Pistons	49c	4,143$2,017 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,016.66	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Pistons	48c	4,037$1,938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,937.6	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Magic	70c	4,021$2,798 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,223.6	192	46.4%89 W · 103 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Pistons	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	320	51.9%166 W · 154 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Pistons	50c	3,994$1,997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,997	170	55.3%94 W · 76 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Pistons	50c	3,564$1,782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,782.15	187	49.2%92 W · 95 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Pistons	52c	3,547$1,844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,844.36	192	45.3%87 W · 105 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Pistons	51c	3,522$1,786 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,785.97	592	50.2%297 W · 295 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Magic	51c	3,500$1,785 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,715	898	53.1%477 W · 421 L	+21.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Pistons	51c	3,426$1,747 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,747.37	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Magic	51c	3,363$1,709 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,654.77	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Pistons	39c	3,319$1,309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,308.6	149	46.3%69 W · 80 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Pistons	48c	3,293$1,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,590.09	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-11.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Pistons	29c	3,216$938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$938.34	60	28.3%17 W · 43 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Pistons	50c	3,068$1,534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,534.11	376	27.9%105 W · 271 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Magic	63c	3,047$1,916 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,131.18	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Pistons	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	199	37.2%74 W · 125 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Pistons	51c	2,973$1,504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,504.07	220	36.8%81 W · 139 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Magic	52c	2,914$1,515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,398.53	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Magic	50c	2,714$1,357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,357.03	230	47%108 W · 122 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Magic	80c	2,644$2,108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$536.04	296	52.7%156 W · 140 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Magic	49c	2,529$1,244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,285.41	348	50.9%177 W · 171 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Pistons	50c	2,502$1,251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,251.05	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Magic	50c	2,500$1,259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,240.99	620	51.1%317 W · 303 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Pistons	51c	2,393$1,213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,213.01	148	54.1%80 W · 68 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Pistons	46c	2,300$1,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,055.99	529	51.2%271 W · 258 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Pistons	48c	2,248$1,079 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,079.24	197	45.2%89 W · 108 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Magic	49c	2,010$995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,015.1	503	46.5%234 W · 269 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf36…2919backed Magic	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Magic	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	73	58.9%43 W · 30 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Magic	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,019.98	216	53.7%116 W · 100 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d2b…97fdbacked Pistons	49c	1,978$969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$969.4	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Pistons	49c	1,978$969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$969.4	183	49.2%90 W · 93 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fca…9d33backed Pistons	49c	1,978$969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$969.4	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Magic	48c	1,969$952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,017.3	207	44%91 W · 116 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Magic	52c	1,965$1,022 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$943.11	115	58.3%67 W · 48 L	+6.4wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Pistons	42c	1,964$825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$824.96	275	46.2%127 W · 148 L	-7.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed Pistons	51c	1,941$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990.01	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Magic	50c	1,940$970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$970	629	48.6%306 W · 323 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Magic	52c	1,868$971 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$896.49	432	69.2%299 W · 133 L	+10.7wins	+0.02per pick	67cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e7d…eaa6backed Pistons	51c	1,808$922 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$922.07	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Magic	57c	1,785$1,018 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$767.59	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8a…a5bcbacked Pistons	49c	1,583$776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$775.52	82	42.7%35 W · 47 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)this page
1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Magic won
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 28.5No won
Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Jalen Duren: Points O/U 15.5No won
Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 21.5No won
Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
Pistons vs. MagicMagic won
Pistons vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 213.5Under won
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 214.5Under won
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 215.5Under won
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Magic won
Tobias Harris: Points O/U 16.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event