NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 214.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbeac68d02d3318920fd42376362971df67b3efb54f20e252bb72c95a3e53e0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $547,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $566,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $547,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54d2…ac37backed Over | 50c | 83,193$41,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,596.75 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Under | 49c | 79,451$39,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,236.23 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de4…b032backed Under | 50c | 67,035$33,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,517.45 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over | 51c | 54,072$27,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,573.11 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 49c | 37,562$18,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,433.66 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 42c | 37,334$15,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,663.25 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 58c | 33,798$19,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,157.24 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…35e6backed Over | 46c | 29,139$13,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,403.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Under | 54c | 27,011$14,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,425.11 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Over | 50c | 24,054$12,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,027.03 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 49c | 19,388$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,887.88 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf721…ecf5backed Under | 49c | 18,361$8,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,364.23 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 33c | 13,435$4,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.31 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 0c | 11,903$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 51c | 10,605$5,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,423.7 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Under | 64c | 9,960$6,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,585.68 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 46c | 9,852$4,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,512.63 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 36c | 7,115$2,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561.42 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Over | 50c | 5,820$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Under | 51c | 5,709$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.61 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 5,327$2,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,671.18 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Over | 15c | 5,153$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.24 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 42c | 5,124$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.05 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Under | 51c | 4,853$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.97 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 50c | 4,771$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.7 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Under | 61c | 4,231$2,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.86 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…076fbacked Over | 39c | 3,828$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.98 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 26c | 3,752$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.14 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 52c | 2,914$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.07 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Under | 49c | 2,901$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.72 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Under | 56c | 2,820$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.89 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Under | 50c | 2,734$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.01 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 52c | 2,725$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.77 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…dc37backed Under | 58c | 2,484$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 51c | 2,171$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.09 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…959abacked Under | 58c | 1,990$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.95 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…92d6backed Under | 54c | 1,934$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.52 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 54c | 1,911$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.42 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…5e27backed Under | 53c | 1,884$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked Under | 66c | 1,790$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.98 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…96cbbacked Under | 53c | 1,492$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Over | 12c | 1,468$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.27 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Over | 45c | 1,464$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.81 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fe…e0fdbacked Over | 50c | 1,358$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 54c | 1,341$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.22 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 49c | 1,277$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.85 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 1,271$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.05 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ec…ed41backed Under | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed Under | 53c | 1,193$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 26c | 1,185$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.49 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Over | 45c | 1,159$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.54 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Over | 41c | 1,111$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.51 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1358…d34abacked Under | 58c | 1,015$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.45 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Over | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 46c | 1,000$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Over | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…b08fbacked Over | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Under | 61c | 999.96$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.98 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…9d97backed Under | 53c | 986.44$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x208a…441ebacked Under | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 50c | 776$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 50c | 754.93$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.47 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81b3…eeaebacked Over | 45c | 743.91$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +327.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…d9ffbacked Under | 77c | 682.16$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc25c…f6dfbacked Over | 61c | 655.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 26c | 653.65$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.8 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Under | 54c | 630.26$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.92 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 39c | 596.58$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.91 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf51e…e386backed Under | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.69 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a2…a105backed Under | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.69 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 55c | 593.04$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.87 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 50c | 582$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 49c | 581.64$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.64 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Over | 45c | 568.43$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.79 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 485.97$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.76 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 50c | 485$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Under | 54c | 479.41$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.93 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Under | 63c | 444.6$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.06 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 57c | 441.79$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.45 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 48c | 410$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.2 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7a…9ca2backed Over | 51c | 380.17$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.89 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Over | 26c | 367.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 50c | 358.3$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.37 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 47c | 356.35$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.81 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 59c | 356.23$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.92 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Under | 49c | 335.53$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.12 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 59c | 300.67$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.28 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 49c | 299.17$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.38 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Under | 48c | 293.5$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.62 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 14c | 293$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b01…dee1backed Over | 52c | 280.15$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Under | 48c | 276.51$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.79 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 214.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Magic won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Pistons vs. MagicMagic won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 213.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 215.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Magic won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.