Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x349b408ee52c3a039cc0130c23454d55fb96f4902d57921b4ac08c0c30fc8616
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof ex-HEROIC, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ex-HEROIC | 19c | 12,835$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.52 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed ex-HEROIC | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…2065backed Team Falcons | 75c | 6,894$5,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef07…bb26backed Team Falcons | 78c | 6,408$5,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked ex-HEROIC | 27c | 5,828$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.97 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed ex-HEROIC | 25c | 5,268$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked ex-HEROIC | 19c | 4,183$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.74 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 75c | 3,981$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.56 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ex-HEROIC | 21c | 3,285$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.04 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team Falcons | 70c | 3,132$2,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.21 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed ex-HEROIC | 19c | 2,500$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed ex-HEROIC | 30c | 2,213$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.87 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-HEROIC | 22c | 2,015$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.18 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c66…c204backed Team Falcons | 70c | 1,794$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.23 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed ex-HEROIC | 31c | 1,461$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-HEROIC | 20c | 1,448$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.41 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 1,250$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed ex-HEROIC | 26c | 1,200$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed ex-HEROIC | 25c | 1,169$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.93 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 1,018$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.81 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked ex-HEROIC | 21c | 1,010$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.48 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed ex-HEROIC | 10c | 999.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Falcons | 69c | 976.76$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 778.1$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.1 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Falcons | 79c | 777.14$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed ex-HEROIC | 20c | 759.98$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.2 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…cc95backed Team Falcons | 68c | 750$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4317…770bbacked ex-HEROIC | 30c | 728.13$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 726.6$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.67 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed ex-HEROIC | 28c | 725$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Falcons | 73c | 700$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 699.99$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Falcons | 75c | 699.62$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.9 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…844fbacked ex-HEROIC | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed ex-HEROIC | 25c | 658.73$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.96 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Falcons | 76c | 641.2$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.89 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked ex-HEROIC | 19c | 636.37$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed ex-HEROIC | 27c | 577.71$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.61 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Team Falcons | 80c | 573$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.62 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-HEROIC | 24c | 507$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.43 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Team Falcons | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 154 | 65.6%101 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Falcons | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed ex-HEROIC | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed ex-HEROIC | 16c | 499.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed ex-HEROIC | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed ex-HEROIC | 29c | 495.87$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.8 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed ex-HEROIC | 19c | 474$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-HEROIC | 23c | 463.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.26 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked ex-HEROIC | 29c | 462.68$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 163 | 28.8%47 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 450.7$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.11 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed ex-HEROIC | 34c | 446.61$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…ce3bbacked ex-HEROIC | 3c | 435.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee3…9d1ebacked ex-HEROIC | 33c | 429.62$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-HEROIC | 23c | 429.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.87 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Falcons | 64c | 426.98$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.98 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked ex-HEROIC | 38c | 416.07$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.58 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Falcons | 75c | 409.25$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.49 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 400.24$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.23 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Team Falcons | 68c | 399.99$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked ex-HEROIC | 33c | 354.7$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.72 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Falcons | 66c | 321.86$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.93 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Team Falcons | 76c | 315$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.8 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked ex-HEROIC | 30c | 313.39$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked ex-HEROIC | 23c | 305.08$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 300 | 41.3%124 W · 176 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Falcons | 76c | 285.99$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed ex-HEROIC | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed ex-HEROIC | 34c | 249.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed ex-HEROIC | 14c | 249.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked ex-HEROIC | 14c | 245.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef70…eb8dbacked ex-HEROIC | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed ex-HEROIC | 21c | 227$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-HEROIC | 22c | 220.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed ex-HEROIC | 36c | 215.54$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.98 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked ex-HEROIC | 40c | 204$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.88 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Team Falcons | 74c | 204$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed ex-HEROIC | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked ex-HEROIC | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 194.96$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed ex-HEROIC | 27c | 179.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…9fb0backed ex-HEROIC | 8c | 170$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f7cfbacked ex-HEROIC | 25c | 158.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed ex-HEROIC | 37c | 155.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed ex-HEROIC | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed ex-HEROIC | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Team Falcons | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Team Falcons | 57c | 150$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed ex-HEROIC | 18c | 133.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f07…53d1backed ex-HEROIC | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-HEROIC | 22c | 133.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…cdb1backed ex-HEROIC | 38c | 117.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Team Falcons | 51c | 112.84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 106.16$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Team Falcons | 74c | 102.15$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Team Falcons | 75c | 100.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked ex-HEROIC | 24c | 85.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed ex-HEROIC | 28c | 84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group ATeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs ex-HEROIC (+1.5)Team Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.