Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa072298835b4d7cc3f71d103507ffc9ee862a80ecc7bff0ed0ac1bbd95c7832d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof ex-HEROIC, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Falcons | 78c | 10,467$8,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,302.71 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-HEROIC | 17c | 7,079$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.57 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed ex-HEROIC | 15c | 6,997$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.45 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked ex-HEROIC | 22c | 4,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked ex-HEROIC | 22c | 2,500$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.98 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…500fbacked ex-HEROIC | 15c | 2,374$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.39 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Team Falcons | 77c | 1,993$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.4 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked ex-HEROIC | 18c | 1,982$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.73 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed ex-HEROIC | 9c | 1,729$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.13 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed ex-HEROIC | 17c | 1,481$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.75 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed ex-HEROIC | 22c | 1,442$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.78 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-HEROIC | 18c | 1,087$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.96 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…f61ebacked ex-HEROIC | 22c | 1,076$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa162…479dbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 1,070$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.37 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…5ff5backed ex-HEROIC | 22c | 1,047$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…efeebacked ex-HEROIC | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed ex-HEROIC | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed ex-HEROIC | 22c | 999.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked ex-HEROIC | 19c | 893.16$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.97 | 243 | 43.6%106 W · 137 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2f…0ddabacked ex-HEROIC | 22c | 882.01$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…59acbacked ex-HEROIC | 20c | 858$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.12 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…2330backed ex-HEROIC | 23c | 800$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed ex-HEROIC | 15c | 700$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.86 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked ex-HEROIC | 10c | 683.1$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb92a…f51cbacked ex-HEROIC | 22c | 600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed ex-HEROIC | 22c | 599.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked ex-HEROIC | 17c | 580.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked ex-HEROIC | 6c | 554.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed ex-HEROIC | 22c | 550$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ex-HEROIC | 15c | 531.2$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.09 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed ex-HEROIC | 25c | 523.31$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.04 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Team Falcons | 79c | 507.73$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.23 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20f…ab16backed ex-HEROIC | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…8255backed Team Falcons | 79c | 475$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 464$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-HEROIC | 18c | 455$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.59 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked ex-HEROIC | 22c | 448.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 240 | 34.2%82 W · 158 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked ex-HEROIC | 22c | 372.73$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-HEROIC | 5c | 336$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed ex-HEROIC | 21c | 333.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-HEROIC | 17c | 324.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed ex-HEROIC | 22c | 320.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed ex-HEROIC | 21c | 319.83$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.22 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed ex-HEROIC | 8c | 285.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 135 | 51.9%70 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Team Falcons | 78c | 282.05$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.05 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked ex-HEROIC | 9c | 268.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb710…a6babacked ex-HEROIC | 7c | 260$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…844fbacked Team Falcons | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…04b2backed ex-HEROIC | 17c | 235.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed ex-HEROIC | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Team Falcons | 74c | 199.11$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.77 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed ex-HEROIC | 23c | 189$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed ex-HEROIC | 20c | 180$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Team Falcons | 77c | 143.51$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ex-HEROIC | 14c | 135.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62b7…f260backed ex-HEROIC | 13c | 134.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked ex-HEROIC | 15c | 133$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d6…c3c5backed Team Falcons | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…7711backed Team Falcons | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4392…0da3backed Team Falcons | 80c | 125.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ex-HEROIC | 13c | 122.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked ex-HEROIC | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7d41backed Team Falcons | 78c | 109.58$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed ex-HEROIC | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Team Falcons | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed ex-HEROIC | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-HEROIC | 13c | 92.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed ex-HEROIC | 23c | 91.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed ex-HEROIC | 16c | 86.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 70.92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcae…cb32backed ex-HEROIC | 23c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…2bb3backed Team Falcons | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed Team Falcons | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf5…9d6fbacked Team Falcons | 78c | 33.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Team Falcons | 78c | 33.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5e…0881backed Team Falcons | 78c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 32.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fff…740fbacked Team Falcons | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Team Falcons | 76c | 19.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 19.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 18.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Athis page
- Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs ex-HEROIC (+1.5)Team Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.