TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x89d6…c3c5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2080%16 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roehampton 2: Radu Albot vs Leonardo Rossibacked Leonardo Rossi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
National Bank Open: Juncheng Shang vs Andrey Rublevbacked Juncheng Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
National Bank Open: Shuai Zhang vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
National Bank Open: Xinyu Wang vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$604Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+29%+$175.13
Canadian Open: Jaume Munar vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Vancouver: En-Shuo Liang vs Mananchaya Sawangkaewbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$26.12
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Zizou Bergsbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$6.62
Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Xinyu Wangbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$112.8
Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osakabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$9.65
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Matteo Arnaldi vs Toby Samuelbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Halle Open: Learner Tien vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$8.86
Roland Garros WTA: Xiyu Wang vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.84
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$28.85
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Xinyu Gao vs Harmony Tanbacked Harmony Tan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.29
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Bondar vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$152.83
Jiujiang: Viktoria Morvayova vs Yexin Mabacked Yexin Ma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.42
Aix en Provence: Yibing Wu vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+48%+$6.24
All 20 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1580%12 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$16.92
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs TEAM VISION (+1.5)backed TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$20.56
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$35.37
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.98
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$137.48
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$10.78
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.22
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.64
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.28
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$5.72
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.05
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.97
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Sparks vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Stormbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$6.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$5.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.