Asian League · resolved market
Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3c328d24859ed8fef392dfccc259670187330299c27f2a046d2166ce150a6ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 25c | 2,000$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 245 | 23.3%57 W · 188 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,655$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 1,340$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.71 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed No | 79c | 1,210$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.07 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 1,177$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.47 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 29c | 1,037$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.07 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.48 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 871.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 21c | 765.23$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.74 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 22c | 417.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.96 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 22c | 368.05$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.69 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 73c | 363.1$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.41 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 33c | 311.75$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.15 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 60c | 282$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 21c | 253.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff7…b686backed Yes | 6c | 241.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ec…3630backed Yes | 5c | 231.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 73c | 221.26$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.55 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 59c | 186.34$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.64 | 723 | 42%304 W · 419 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf316…1e44backed Yes | 61c | 171.39$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 49c | 162.28$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 21c | 140.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 341 | 50.7%173 W · 168 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 77c | 99.96$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 25c | 78.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…475bbacked Yes | 16c | 74.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 22c | 69.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 67.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 43c | 60.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43b…f637backed Yes | 21c | 55.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 50.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yes | 56c | 48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 48c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 34c | 43.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 70c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Yes | 48c | 41.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57dc…01ffbacked Yes | 67c | 38.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 62c | 36.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d2…b119backed Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89d6…c3c5backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 71c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb23a…fb54backed Yes | 58c | 25.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-06?No won
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-05-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.