Asian League · resolved market
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-05-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6f0e5edf9621f531aa8a14e8130445aaf8cc4c629fa15524dd67b91cbe256f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 5,479$4,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,247.49 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes | 29c | 3,306$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.31 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 15c | 2,547$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.94 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 1,720$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.45 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 28c | 1,146$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.74 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 987.64$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.02 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6b…1db1backed Yes | 35c | 977.17$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 70c | 832.01$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.01 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 73c | 710.41$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.11 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…165cbacked Yes | 17c | 606.16$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.76 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…fa1abacked No | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes | 28c | 499.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.98 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 25c | 384.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.33 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 31c | 374.53$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.45 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 71c | 370$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.22 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 19c | 330.4$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.65 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f70…ce77backed No | 14c | 258.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 31c | 238.71$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.71 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 62c | 225.23$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.74 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa202…9b12backed Yes | 17c | 207.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.01 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…ad11backed No | 53c | 205.97$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.11 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 26c | 189.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.97 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…92d6backed Yes | 25c | 189.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.93 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 25c | 170$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.47 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 157.23$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.92 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed No | 69c | 129$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 67cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 33c | 126.39$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.73 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…68a0backed Yes | 25c | 117.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.7 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 31c | 108.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.81 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 34c | 100.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…475bbacked Yes | 23c | 78.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed No | 24c | 76.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…d5a3backed Yes | 29c | 71.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 32c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 76c | 63.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 66c | 60.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked No | 25c | 55.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 12cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…23f8backed Yes | 38c | 55.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +114%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 65c | 53.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 31c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 74cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 68c | 36.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 31c | 34.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 79c | 34.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 34c | 31.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed Yes | 35c | 30.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab9…cc4bbacked No | 68c | 30.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 78c | 30.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a77…8b53backed No | 78c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 50c | 29.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 51c | 29.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 50c | 27.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed No | 70c | 26.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…2bf2backed No | 72c | 25.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked No | 79c | 21.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 72cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed No | 67c | 18.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 72c | 14.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-05-06?this page
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.