F1 · resolved market
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ba8be6cd056ba6dc9960689436f811c94d729f63bc4987d522b09c4b9aaa1d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Yes | 71c | 1,565$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.47 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 29c | 1,105$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.97 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 63c | 1,055$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.54 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked No | 33c | 974.31$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.21 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Yes | 48c | 583.8$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.89 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +9.1wins | +0.35per pick | 38cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 39c | 540.31$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.13 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 13c | 447.52$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked No | 29c | 412.79$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.38 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 22c | 366$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.91 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 43c | 357.03$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.54 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5de…cabebacked Yes | 65c | 307.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.82 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 32c | 298.52$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca2…6ababacked Yes | 70c | 265$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…7ad6backed No | 39c | 204.43$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 100 | 65%65 W · 35 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c9…3c2dbacked Yes | 71c | 204.42$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed Yes | 65c | 192.18$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed No | 45c | 186.78$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 44c | 184.49$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x626e…fa46backed No | 29c | 153.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae0b…0913backed Yes | 73c | 150.01$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 77c | 123$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 67c | 118.14$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed No | 40c | 114.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…bdc9backed No | 23c | 97.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 60c | 94.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7182…78babacked Yes | 60c | 83.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed No | 24c | 81.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked No | 39c | 79.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 78c | 79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked No | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 39c | 71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed No | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | +14.2wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 15c | 69.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…df81backed No | 27c | 66.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b6…acebbacked Yes | 60c | 58.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9d…1e4bbacked No | 30c | 56.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 74c | 54.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4725…ba00backed No | 29c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 25c | 47.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Yes | 77c | 45.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97fc…2a61backed Yes | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe88f…cac9backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d6…c3c5backed Yes | 80c | 25.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb241…45acbacked Yes | 74c | 21.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ae…18a2backed Yes | 74c | 20.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Yes | 69c | 15.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.