F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x293bdcf8780cf603f1a7e7c792d81943abba09bff5831ec93825495ef112c179
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Yes | 29c | 2,608$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +240.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 44c | 2,055$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.79 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 71c | 1,887$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.07 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Yes | 26c | 1,519$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.55 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 57c | 916.46$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.88 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 33c | 912.18$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.4 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 66c | 629.6$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.89 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed Yes | 37c | 591.19$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.58 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…3b1abacked No | 45c | 544.11$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.85 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked No | 65c | 544.11$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.21 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 74c | 499.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed No | 29c | 466$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.8 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…d35ebacked Yes | 38c | 432.5$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 64c | 417.75$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.2 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75a2…6992backed No | 37c | 400$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5de…cabebacked Yes | 56c | 354.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.04 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…adbebacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 72c | 328.44$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.74 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 13c | 292.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2af…e3bcbacked Yes | 68c | 258.91$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x626e…fa46backed Yes | 29c | 228$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.2 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…fc1abacked No | 14c | 208.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 68c | 191.69$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.14 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…ff59backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 30cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc45…14bcbacked Yes | 32c | 157.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83f5…36bfbacked Yes | 64c | 153.58$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 32c | 147.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.13 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 63c | 122.07$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4cff…ce54backed Yes | 31c | 114.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +216%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 54c | 110.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 75c | 95.41$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.81 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed No | 72c | 72.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8edb…0e21backed Yes | 31c | 70.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +121%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…cb96backed Yes | 29c | 68.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae0b…0913backed Yes | 51c | 68.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…d30ebacked Yes | 30c | 65.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +229%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…bdc9backed No | 60c | 64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60a7…4a91backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…3a06backed Yes | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Yes | 37c | 59.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd2…9693backed Yes | 26c | 56.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Yes | 63c | 52.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a0…7513backed Yes | 27c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +116.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 35c | 48.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 71c | 37.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 72c | 33.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7632…7a11backed Yes | 49c | 23.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…4058backed No | 60c | 21.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 71c | 20.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 61c | 16.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.